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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Blaydes v Almeida
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Blaydes 0-0
VS
22-4 Almeida
6'4"
height
6'3"
256 lb
weight
237 lb
80"
reach
79"
35
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
2.5
50%
striking accuracy
64%
1.9
strikes absorbed / min
0.7
58%
striking defence
40%
5.7
takedowns / 15 min
6.8
53%
takedown accuracy
59%
31%
takedown defence
75%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
2.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“my pick is Curtis Curtis Blaydes”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“my pick is Curtis Curtis Blaydes”
PF
Pickin' Fights picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“I'm picking gon almea”
Pickin' Fights picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“I'm picking gon almea”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Curtis Blaydes
“I'm going to good with Curtis Blaydes good with I'm going to good with Curtis Blaydes good with I'm going to good with Curtis Blaydes I've the chat and U yeah I'm gonna buy my boy I'm gonna B My Boy Curtis Blaydes man I'm gonna I'm gonna B My Boy Curtis Blaydes man I'm gonna I'm gonna B My Boy Curtis Blaydes man I'm gonna B my boy no no yeah definitely Gonna B my boy no no yeah definitely Gonna Roll with Curtis Blaydes on this one um I know Roll with Curtis Blaydes on this one um I know Roll with Curtis Blaydes on this one um I know he took some losses some tough losses in him and I'm going to go with him I think Curtis Blaydes gets it done”
The Rambling Dad picks Curtis Blaydes
“I'm going to good with Curtis Blaydes good with I'm going to good with Curtis Blaydes good with I'm going to good with Curtis Blaydes I've the chat and U yeah I'm gonna buy my boy I'm gonna B My Boy Curtis Blaydes man I'm gonna I'm gonna B My Boy Curtis Blaydes man I'm gonna I'm gonna B My Boy Curtis Blaydes man I'm gonna B my boy no no yeah definitely Gonna B my boy no no yeah definitely Gonna Roll with Curtis Blaydes on this one um I know Roll with Curtis Blaydes on this one um I know Roll with Curtis Blaydes on this one um I know he took some losses some tough losses in him and I'm going to go with him I think Curtis Blaydes gets it done”
BR
Broom picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“I think he's going to get it done via late TKO I think he's going to have struggle to keep Jailton Almeida off of him in the first he'll find it a whole lot easier in the second and he'll start putting stuff together and then he'll come out pretty hot in the third and put him away all right”
Broom picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“I think he's going to get it done via late TKO I think he's going to have struggle to keep Jailton Almeida off of him in the first he'll find it a whole lot easier in the second and he'll start putting stuff together and then he'll come out pretty hot in the third and put him away all right”
WP
WillMartin UFC Fight Predictions picks Jailton Almeida
“Jil ala is going to be my pick in that one there”
WillMartin UFC Fight Predictions picks Jailton Almeida
“Jil ala is going to be my pick in that one there”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jailton Almeida
“80% almea wins this one”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jailton Almeida
“80% almea wins this one”
FI
FightBookMMA picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“I think Curtis Blaydes is gonna win this fight yeah I think so too”
FightBookMMA picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“I think Curtis Blaydes is gonna win this fight yeah I think so too”
VS
VSiN picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“you're already on Curtis Blaydes you have that parlay with him with the previous winner on the card last week reiterate why you like Curtis Blaydes”
VSiN picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“you're already on Curtis Blaydes you have that parlay with him with the previous winner on the card last week reiterate why you like Curtis Blaydes”
KU
Kunath picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“I think that Curtis Blaydes has more ways to win this fight I think he has better striking I think he has better wrestling overall and I think he's going to find ways to beat Jailton Almeida and probably finish him in the first round”
Kunath picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“I think that Curtis Blaydes has more ways to win this fight I think he has better striking I think he has better wrestling overall and I think he's going to find ways to beat Jailton Almeida and probably finish him in the first round”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Curtis Blaydes
“I don't love the Optics from Curtis Blaydes”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Curtis Blaydes
“I don't love the Optics from Curtis Blaydes”
PN
Picks Nation picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I think jov Almeida just blows through Curtis blades and I know people want to talk about well Curtis Blaydes is a phenomenal wrestler do you know he hasn't even attempted a takedown in three years hasn't even attempted a single takedown in three years I'm not saying hasn't gotten a takedown hasn't attempted a takedown in three years he just fought the most dangerous striker in the division did he attempt to take down no he stood there and he got knocked out and did you know that the only two people who have Tri tried to take him down did his takedown defense is 33% and yes this fight's a little different because he's expecting takedowns to come his way but I think Jailton Almeida is just a different animal I think he's a yoked up Beast that is going to come forward shoot a takedown almost instantly and get it”
Picks Nation picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I think jov Almeida just blows through Curtis blades and I know people want to talk about well Curtis Blaydes is a phenomenal wrestler do you know he hasn't even attempted a takedown in three years hasn't even attempted a single takedown in three years I'm not saying hasn't gotten a takedown hasn't attempted a takedown in three years he just fought the most dangerous striker in the division did he attempt to take down no he stood there and he got knocked out and did you know that the only two people who have Tri tried to take him down did his takedown defense is 33% and yes this fight's a little different because he's expecting takedowns to come his way but I think Jailton Almeida is just a different animal I think he's a yoked up Beast that is going to come forward shoot a takedown almost instantly and get it”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Blaydes0-0
L
Hokit
Apr '26
W
Kuniev
Jun '25
L
Aspinall
Jul '24
W
Almeida
Mar '24
L
Pavlovich
Apr '23
Almeida22-4
L
Kuniev
Feb '26
L
Volkov
Oct '25
W
Spivac
Jan '25
W
Romanov
Jun '24
L
Blaydes
Mar '24