MMA Prophecy
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UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Topuria v Volkanovski Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus121 picks · conf 96/99
Topuria 50
71 Volkanovski
HFTWPh pick Topuria
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Topuria 17-0 VS 27-4 Volkanovski
5'7" height 5'6"
155 lb weight 145 lb
69" reach 72"
29 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 6.0
54% striking accuracy 51%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
61% striking defence 57%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
57% takedown accuracy 48%
84% takedown defence 70%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “I'm taking Alexander Volkanovski” $1.77
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Ilia Topuria VALUE “I'm taking Ilia Topuria” $2.10
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Alexander Volkanovski “Paulo Costa versus Alexander Volkanovski I've got Alexander Volkanovski to win”
BR Broom picks Ilia Topuria “everyone's saying that Ilia Topuria's uh the man to get it done... I feel like Ilia Topuria might drop Alexander Volkanovski... Ilia Topuria might win one of the early two rounds via VIA knockdown”
TP The UFC Pundit picks Ilia Topuria “I'm sticking with my guy and picking a money line on Ilia Topuria Topuria at plus 105” $2.05
CS Chael Sonnen picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “my official prediction Alexander Volkanovski and still”
AT ATS picks Alexander Volkanovski “I am going to go with Alexander Volkanovski to win this fight at minus 125”
FI FightBookMMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “I'm going sloppy to KO”
FI FightBookMMA picks Ilia Topuria “I think banovski he's just got he's just better better all around man”
EB ESPN BET picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “give me vul to win and over three and a half” $1.80
BV Brax Vision picks Alexander Volkanovski “I think Alexander Volkanovski experience is going to ultimately get the job done in this fight and uh get him to dck W in this fight and uh I could see it being a five round War but I I think Alexander Volkanovski is going to pull it off”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “I've bet on Alexander Volkanovski V I at minus 125” $1.80
Recent form last five, most recent first
Topuria17-0
L Gaethje KO/TKO · R4 Jun '26
W Oliveira KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Holloway KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W Volkanovski KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
W Emmett Decision · R5 Jun '23
Volkanovski27-4
W Lopes Decision · R5 Feb '26
W Lopes Decision · R5 Apr '25
L Topuria KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
L Makhachev KO/TKO · R1 Oct '23
W Rodríguez KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23