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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rogério de Lima v Tafa Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus35 picks · conf 58/99
Rogério de Lima 23
12 Tafa
FHCMBE pick Rogério de Lima
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rogério de Lima 22-10-1 VS 7-5 Tafa
— height 6'3"
— weight 205 lb
— reach 75"
41 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.7 strikes landed / min 2.1
57% striking accuracy 62%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
51% striking defence 55%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
45% takedown accuracy 49%
59% takedown defence 90%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Marcos Rogério de Lima “let's say no distance for Lio to win Lio offers more experience so let's see”
FI FightBookMMA picks Marcos Rogério de Lima “I am going to pick for sure just roero Delma in the fight”
EB ESPN BET picks Marcos Rogério de Lima “Marcos Rogério de Lima if he gets his fight to the floor it it's over” $1.08
WP We Want Picks picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE “Justin Taff is going to be the pick”
AM Axel MMA picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE “this is an easy win for Marcos jerio Del Lima”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Junior Tafa VALUE “60% um Junior Tafa Tafa wins this one”
KU Kunath picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE “I am 100% clicking the Danny Barlo button”
LS Lil Stray picks Marcos Rogério de Lima “I'm picking Marcos rerio Del Lima Marcos rerio Del Lima gets it done I think by decision”
BM Broke Bets MMA picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE “give me Marcos Rogério de Marcos Rogério de Lima”
BD Big Dave picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE “I'm going to pick Marcos Rogério de Lima by late TKO”
WP We Want Picks picks Marcos Rogério de Lima “Marcos Rogério de Lima it's a heavyweight fight you got to leave this alone”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE “I do lean towards that Marcos Rogério de Lima side at 8,500”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rogério de Lima22-10-1
W Tafa KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
L Lewis KO/TKO · R1 Jul '23
W Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Apr '23
W Arlovski Submission · R1 Oct '22
L Ivanov Decision · R3 May '22
Tafa7-5
L Baraniewski KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Christian KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Elekana Submission · R2 Feb '26
L Tokkos Submission · R2 Jul '25
W Sharaf KO/TKO · R2 Oct '24