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Prophecy read
Lemos v Dern
Women'S Strawweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Lemos 15-5-1
VS
14-5 Dern
5'4"
height
5'4"
115 lb
weight
116 lb
65"
reach
63"
39
age
33
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.3
strikes landed / min
3.4
35%
striking accuracy
39%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
61%
striking defence
51%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
38%
takedown accuracy
16%
59%
takedown defence
30%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Amanda Lemos
“I'm going to say lamos to win as Mckenzie was struggling and lamos will have a massive Advantage if she keeps the fight on the feet”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Amanda Lemos
“I'm going to say lamos to win as Mckenzie was struggling and lamos will have a massive Advantage if she keeps the fight on the feet”
BD
Ben Davis picks Amanda Lemos
“I'm going to go with Lemos Believe It or Not uh I don't think D's offensive wrestling is fantastic or BJJ is world class but she can't get people to the mat she can't keep them on the mat then she can't submit them on the mat can she so her strike in always has been average she's improved but against Jessica andr melted uh I think Leos has got some really crisp hands and you know I mean I I'm pretty sure correct wrong um yeah coming off of that defeat to Jean Way Lee you know she needs a big bounceback performance and she's had the time off to uh to get it in my opinion so I think Amanda Lemos takes it”
Ben Davis picks Amanda Lemos
“I'm going to go with Lemos Believe It or Not uh I don't think D's offensive wrestling is fantastic or BJJ is world class but she can't get people to the mat she can't keep them on the mat then she can't submit them on the mat can she so her strike in always has been average she's improved but against Jessica andr melted uh I think Leos has got some really crisp hands and you know I mean I I'm pretty sure correct wrong um yeah coming off of that defeat to Jean Way Lee you know she needs a big bounceback performance and she's had the time off to uh to get it in my opinion so I think Amanda Lemos takes it”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Mackenzie Dern
“my salary play of the week I am going to close my eyes and take a risk on Mackenzie Mackenzie Dernern at 7.9k”
Mayo Media Network picks Mackenzie Dern
“my salary play of the week I am going to close my eyes and take a risk on Mackenzie Mackenzie Dernern at 7.9k”
WP
We Want Picks picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“you got to go Amanda Lemos here”
We Want Picks picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“you got to go Amanda Lemos here”
RA
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Mackenzie Dern
“I'm not gonna put down my girlfriend uh yeah I'm gonna stay away from that”
$2.10
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Mackenzie Dern
“I'm not gonna put down my girlfriend uh yeah I'm gonna stay away from that”
$2.10
RA
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Amanda Lemos
“McKenzie D on the prelims taking on Amanda Lemos”
$1.77
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Amanda Lemos
“McKenzie D on the prelims taking on Amanda Lemos”
$1.77
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“so 100% um lmos takes this one”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“so 100% um lmos takes this one”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“I think Amanda should light her up on thei feet I I just I it seems like a gift like I this this minus 138 is calling my name with my [__] bank card bank card in my hand like I don't know take my take my money because I'm on am Manda lamos for sure”
$1.72
Premium-Picks picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“I think Amanda should light her up on thei feet I I just I it seems like a gift like I this this minus 138 is calling my name with my [__] bank card bank card in my hand like I don't know take my take my money because I'm on am Manda lamos for sure”
$1.72
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“I'm going with Amanda Lemos minus 135 got odds right here I think think they're decent on EVENT_DETAILS right now man if you do think Mackenzie Dern will somehow get a takedown her takedown accuracy isn't great it's like 20% like it's under 20% and you think she's going to keep it close somehow after the way she just got beat maybe because Amanda Lemos might be recovering from her beating against waye and will'll be a little hesitant maybe she'll come out and lose around that plus three and a half on EVENT_DETAILS is out there at minus 140 but I do like Amanda Lemos money line more here that's just for people who who think it's going to be a close fight women's fights are usually a little closer yeah exactly uh zachar said I like man lios a lot more but we could also take those props as well those are good props for this fight man uh that's about it what you got for this fight man that's all I got for that one yes sir that's what we got for that fight let's move on to the next fight”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“I'm going with Amanda Lemos minus 135 got odds right here I think think they're decent on EVENT_DETAILS right now man if you do think Mackenzie Dern will somehow get a takedown her takedown accuracy isn't great it's like 20% like it's under 20% and you think she's going to keep it close somehow after the way she just got beat maybe because Amanda Lemos might be recovering from her beating against waye and will'll be a little hesitant maybe she'll come out and lose around that plus three and a half on EVENT_DETAILS is out there at minus 140 but I do like Amanda Lemos money line more here that's just for people who who think it's going to be a close fight women's fights are usually a little closer yeah exactly uh zachar said I like man lios a lot more but we could also take those props as well those are good props for this fight man uh that's about it what you got for this fight man that's all I got for that one yes sir that's what we got for that fight let's move on to the next fight”
LS
Lil Stray picks Amanda Lemos
“I'm going just take Amanda lamos at money line though I think that's uh I think that's the pick”
Lil Stray picks Amanda Lemos
“I'm going just take Amanda lamos at money line though I think that's uh I think that's the pick”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Mackenzie Dern
“I expect her power to come through once again for her as she keeps D at Bay and eventually finds that knockout in the second round”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Mackenzie Dern
“I expect her power to come through once again for her as she keeps D at Bay and eventually finds that knockout in the second round”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Lemos15-5-1
L
Robertson
Mar '26
L
Suarez
Sep '25
W
Lucindo
Mar '25
L
Jandiroba
Jul '24
W
Dern
Feb '24
Dern14-5
W
Jandiroba
Oct '25
W
Ribas
Jan '25
W
Godinez
Aug '24
L
Lemos
Feb '24
L
Andrade
Nov '23