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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Johnson v Maksum Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus45 picks · conf 66/99
Johnson 18
27 Maksum
LMPGBT pick Johnson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Johnson 19-8 VS 17-1 Maksum
5'9" height 5'7"
126 lb weight 126 lb
70" reach 70"
35 age 31
Switch stance Southpaw
4.2 strikes landed / min 2.8
47% striking accuracy 23%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 5.2
54% striking defence 55%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
66% takedown accuracy 22%
55% takedown defence 66%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm going to take the favorite here and just keep it moving but Charles Johnson's actually not a bad Fighter”
TS The Fight Week Show picks Charles Johnson “I'm going with a favorite in this one you know I mean I think Michel mados is you I mean sixf fight win streak at the moment”
TS The Fight Week Show picks Azat Maksum VALUE “I'm going to go with London uh to uh to to to get a victory in this one”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Azat Maksum “I'm going to pick um Azat Maksum”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Azat Maksum VALUE “my pick is azat Maxum I've been riding with Kazakhstan all week” $1.45
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Azat Maksum VALUE “I'm still very much in the a at Maxum category I think he's the better Striker”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Azat Maksum VALUE “the one bet that I've placed so far for this card it is Azat Maksum on the money line” $1.48
TP The Pretty Neat Podcast picks Charles Johnson VALUE “give me the kazak danany” $1.53
WP We Want Picks picks Azat Maksum “even though I think Azat Maksum wins this fight and he may get his wrestling going and have a million takedown I there's just too much risk there to waste that kind of money”
CM CHOL MMA picks Azat Maksum “we're going with Azat Maksum over Charles Johnson here”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Azat Maksum “my pick in this fight is going to be obviously as at Maxum to win” $1.44
BM Broke Bets MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I think uh he wins by decision Charles Johnson's never been finished before but yeah I mean I see Maxum he's better boxing better power on the feet and and he's got better grappling too so wherever this fight goes I see him winning and probably by decision” $1.45
Recent form last five, most recent first
Johnson19-8
L Almabayev Submission · R3 Jun '26
W Silva Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Perez KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
W Kavanagh KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
L Temirov Decision · R3 Mar '25
Maksum17-1
L Raposo Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Ulanbekov Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Johnson Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Nam Decision · R3 Jul '23