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Moicano vs DoberFight Card · Lightweight
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Moicano vs DoberFight Card · Lightweight
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Brown vs SalikhovFight Card · Welterweight
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Silva vs AraújoFight Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Khizriev vs MuradovFight Card · Middleweight
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Radtke vs UrbinaFight Card · Welterweight
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McCann vs BelbiţăPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Johnson vs MaksumPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Gorimbo vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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BB
Jeong-yeong vs BilderPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Carolina vs StoliarenkoPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Mederos vs QuiñonesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Moicano v Dober
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Moicano 20-7-1
VS
28-15 Dober
5'11"
height
5'8"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
72"
reach
70"
37
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.4
strikes landed / min
2.9
49%
striking accuracy
52%
3.6
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
60%
striking defence
47%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
44%
takedown accuracy
51%
72%
takedown defence
66%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
1.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Drew Dober
“I'm going to go with with Drew Dober I'm going to go with Drew DOA here”
The Fight Week Show picks Drew Dober
“I'm going to go with with Drew Dober I'm going to go with Drew DOA here”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Drew Dober
“my new pck will be Drew Dober”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Drew Dober
“my new pck will be Drew Dober”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I lean a little bit more towards Drew Dober”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I lean a little bit more towards Drew Dober”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Renato Moicano
“and now your co- main event of EVENT_DETAILS UFC light weights the number 13th rank Renato Moicano versus number 15 Drew Dober”
MMAWeekly.com picks Renato Moicano
“and now your co- main event of EVENT_DETAILS UFC light weights the number 13th rank Renato Moicano versus number 15 Drew Dober”
WP
We Want Picks picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I personally think Drew Dober wins but it's not a hill I'm going to die on because he could absolutely lose this fight but you should 100% pick your side”
We Want Picks picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I personally think Drew Dober wins but it's not a hill I'm going to die on because he could absolutely lose this fight but you should 100% pick your side”
RA
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I'm going with Drew Dober”
$2.50
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I'm going with Drew Dober”
$2.50
BR
Bro$TalkMma picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I'm going with Drew Dober in this one”
Bro$TalkMma picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I'm going with Drew Dober in this one”
CM
CHOL MMA picks Renato Moicano
“I'm going with hanado moano”
CHOL MMA picks Renato Moicano
“I'm going with hanado moano”
BM
Broke Bets MMA picks Drew Dober VALUE
“last money line Drew Dober over Renato Moicano I feel like this fight um you know Renato Moicano has pretty good wrestling but I think Drew Dober uh frame strength and his size himself he'll be able to keep Renato Moicano off him and stay off the C age and we watch Drew over fights he always is moving forward pumping that left hand in people's faces and it's just going to get harder and harder for Renato Moicano to shoot in this fight as time goes on and uh you know he's got to get on uh dobber's back as well you know his his trademark is uh you know just the rear naked so I just think that Drew can deliver the bigger blow um on the feet where Renato Moicano struggled with a southpaw before in RDA and you got the harder hit the hardest hitter in the division possibly with Drew over um and it's just going to come down a chin for chin a little bit in my eyes and Renato Moicano does hit hard and Drew Dober is very hitable but for the plus money price um and the KO power give me Dober”
Broke Bets MMA picks Drew Dober VALUE
“last money line Drew Dober over Renato Moicano I feel like this fight um you know Renato Moicano has pretty good wrestling but I think Drew Dober uh frame strength and his size himself he'll be able to keep Renato Moicano off him and stay off the C age and we watch Drew over fights he always is moving forward pumping that left hand in people's faces and it's just going to get harder and harder for Renato Moicano to shoot in this fight as time goes on and uh you know he's got to get on uh dobber's back as well you know his his trademark is uh you know just the rear naked so I just think that Drew can deliver the bigger blow um on the feet where Renato Moicano struggled with a southpaw before in RDA and you got the harder hit the hardest hitter in the division possibly with Drew over um and it's just going to come down a chin for chin a little bit in my eyes and Renato Moicano does hit hard and Drew Dober is very hitable but for the plus money price um and the KO power give me Dober”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Drew Dober VALUE
“Drew Dober is going to open up as a really strong play”
All-Star DFS picks Drew Dober VALUE
“Drew Dober is going to open up as a really strong play”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Renato Moicano VALUE
“both sides of this fight are good but pay attention to ownership”
All-Star DFS picks Renato Moicano VALUE
“both sides of this fight are good but pay attention to ownership”
EB
ESPN BET picks Renato Moicano
“let's go with Renato Moicano but only at minus 190 if he starts creeping up any further than that”
$1.53
ESPN BET picks Renato Moicano
“let's go with Renato Moicano but only at minus 190 if he starts creeping up any further than that”
$1.53
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Moicano20-7-1
W
Duncan
Apr '26
L
Dariush
Jun '25
L
Makhachev
Jan '25
W
Denis
Sep '24
W
Turner
Apr '24
Dober28-15
W
Johnson
Mar '26
W
Prepolec
Oct '25
L
Torres
Mar '25
L
Silva
Jul '24
L
Moicano
Feb '24