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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pogues v Petersen
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pogues 11-4
VS
10-4 Petersen
6'3"
height
6'1"
264 lb
weight
246 lb
77"
reach
74"
30
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
3.4
strikes landed / min
4.6
44%
striking accuracy
55%
4.2
strikes absorbed / min
2.6
50%
striking defence
54%
2.4
takedowns / 15 min
2.1
48%
takedown accuracy
36%
77%
takedown defence
78%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Jamal Pogues VALUE
“I wouldn't mind a little stab at Jamal pogs I think it could be a boring ass decision too you know what I mean so if it's going to be a decision 15 minutes heavyweight sloggers Jamal PO is coming in here a little bit heavier I think you could just lay on top of him here get some control time get some takedowns”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Jamal Pogues VALUE
“I wouldn't mind a little stab at Jamal pogs I think it could be a boring ass decision too you know what I mean so if it's going to be a decision 15 minutes heavyweight sloggers Jamal PO is coming in here a little bit heavier I think you could just lay on top of him here get some control time get some takedowns”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Thomas Petersen
“Thomas Petersen and Jamal Pogues and this could be an underdog raid here here right off the bat Jamal pogs already has some EVENT_DETAILS experience under his belt he's pretty comfortable now you see some guys coming off the EVENT_DETAILS have a little bit of jitters and I expect that here this guy's a favorite and many times we see the favorite coming off the contender series drop the bag”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Thomas Petersen
“Thomas Petersen and Jamal Pogues and this could be an underdog raid here here right off the bat Jamal pogs already has some EVENT_DETAILS experience under his belt he's pretty comfortable now you see some guys coming off the EVENT_DETAILS have a little bit of jitters and I expect that here this guy's a favorite and many times we see the favorite coming off the contender series drop the bag”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Jamal Pogues VALUE
“I think I'm going to go with poges”
The Rambling Dad picks Jamal Pogues VALUE
“I think I'm going to go with poges”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“I'm going to lean on peton to to keep his street going uh yeah peton is going to be my first my first pick”
The Rambling Dad picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“I'm going to lean on peton to to keep his street going uh yeah peton is going to be my first my first pick”
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Thomas Petersen
“I'm going to lean on Peterson to to keep his street going uh yeah Peterson is going to be my first my first pick”
The Fight Week Show picks Thomas Petersen
“I'm going to lean on Peterson to to keep his street going uh yeah Peterson is going to be my first my first pick”
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Jamal Pogues VALUE
“think I'm G to go with I said to you boys the other night this it's going to be tough to pick some underdogs on this one but I think I'm going to go with poges”
The Fight Week Show picks Jamal Pogues VALUE
“think I'm G to go with I said to you boys the other night this it's going to be tough to pick some underdogs on this one but I think I'm going to go with poges”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Thomas Petersen
“I'm not going with Jamal Pogues pokes I'm going with Thomas Petersen on this one”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Thomas Petersen
“I'm not going with Jamal Pogues pokes I'm going with Thomas Petersen on this one”
PR
Pub Sports Radio picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“I think Thomas Petersen's going to be able to grabble Jamal Pogues”
$1.60
Pub Sports Radio picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“I think Thomas Petersen's going to be able to grabble Jamal Pogues”
$1.60
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“Thomas Petersen is going to my preferred side of the fight”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“Thomas Petersen is going to my preferred side of the fight”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Jamal Pogues
“Thomas Petersen is going to my preferred side of the fight”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Jamal Pogues
“Thomas Petersen is going to my preferred side of the fight”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Thomas Petersen
“up next the UFC heavyweight division Thomas Petersen versus Jamal Pogues”
MMAWeekly.com picks Thomas Petersen
“up next the UFC heavyweight division Thomas Petersen versus Jamal Pogues”
WP
We Want Picks picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“I think Thomas Peterson's probably worth that money at $8,700 because of how EVENT_DETAILS points work with the takedowns with the control time”
We Want Picks picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“I think Thomas Peterson's probably worth that money at $8,700 because of how EVENT_DETAILS points work with the takedowns with the control time”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pogues11-4
L
Abdelwahab
Feb '25
W
Petersen
Feb '24
L
Parkin
Jul '23
W
Parisian
Feb '23
Petersen10-4
W
Pat
Apr '26
L
Petrino
Oct '25
W
Mayes
May '25
L
Gaziev
Feb '25
W
Usman
Jul '24