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UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Luque v dos Anjos Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus65 picks · conf 74/99
Luque 27
38 dos Anjos
IPJCLT pick Luque
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Luque 0-0 VS 32-17 dos Anjos
5'11" height 5'8"
170 lb weight 171 lb
76" reach 70"
34 age 41
Orthodox stance Southpaw
6.0 strikes landed / min 3.5
57% striking accuracy 47%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
55% striking defence 60%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
69% takedown accuracy 35%
60% takedown defence 54%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DR DraftKings picks Vicente Luque VALUE “I like Vicente Luque here big time”
DR DraftKings picks Rafael dos Anjos “I am going to pick Rafael dos Anjos um I'm not gonna put two units I'm just going to keep it straight here on Rafael dos Anjos versus Vicente Luque”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Vicente Luque “I think Rafael desandros is going to get the takedowns in control time he needs to win this fight he has five rounds experience and he has really good cardio as well so former Champs gonna get this one done”
DO Dogtough_UFCpredictions picks Rafael dos Anjos “I got dosanos um you know this one this one is just an instinct fight... give me Rafael dos Anjos”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Rafael dos Anjos “dos anos is going to be the pick”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Rafael dos Anjos “I'm picking him to win a decision”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Rafael dos Anjos VALUE “certainly going with Rafael dos Anjos here for the skill set the 25 minute cardio the wrestling upside I just think he has more ways to look like a dominant favorite over the course of 25 minutes” $1.71
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Vicente Luque VALUE “if you can get him at plus money which it's been bouncing around all week I like his money line I think you can find some 105s right now” $2.05
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Vicente Luque “this could be a great bounce back opportunity him here for him being that he's the bigger guy” $1.95
JO JohnnyKpicks picks Vicente Luque VALUE “I'm going to take Define in a close back and forth match I think Define gets the decision here”
WP We Want Picks picks Rafael dos Anjos VALUE “I think Rafael dos Anjos dos anjos can come forward bomb crap bomb grapple I think he's just gonna stick to that game plan” $1.80
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Vicente Luque VALUE “I'm gonna go with minus 105 Vicente Luce Vicente Luque” $1.95
Recent form last five, most recent first
Luque0-0
W Gastelum Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Álvarez Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Holland Submission · R2 Jun '25
W Gorimbo Submission · R1 Dec '24
L Buckley KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
dos Anjos32-17
L Neal KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
L Gamrot Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Luque Decision · R5 Aug '23
W Barberena Submission · R2 Dec '22
L Fiziev KO/TKO · R5 Jul '22