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UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Fremd v Pickett Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus42 picks · conf 63/99
Fremd 37
5 Pickett
HPFBDL pick Fremd
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Fremd 11-6 VS 13-11 Pickett
6'4" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 186 lb
76" reach 80"
32 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.5 strikes landed / min 2.6
44% striking accuracy 47%
2.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
47% striking defence 50%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.3
25% takedown accuracy 40%
30% takedown defence 67%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Josh Fremd “I will have to pick again George friend no distance or pick it to it”
TH TheGreyFaction picks Josh Fremd “so I'm gonna decide that once again with the bearing God favors Josh Fremd this time he's pretty important favorite how he's going to get the win maybe in decision”
DO Dogtough_UFCpredictions picks Josh Fremd “I'm gonna go with Josh FJosh Fremde to get this one done”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Josh Fremd “friends gonna be the pick on this one” $1.29
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Josh Fremd VALUE “friend big juicy money line I think you could just take his inside the distance profit minus 135” $1.50
WP We Want Picks picks Josh Fremd VALUE “I do think Josh Freeman gets it done”
WP We Want Picks picks Josh Fremd VALUE “I think Josh Fremd Fremd absolutely gets this done and I think he's a solid pretty safe favorite” $1.29
DR DraftKings picks Jamie Pickett “I'm gonna go with friend uh I'll take I'll take the favorite here but I'm gonna I'm gonna track this I I uh I reserved the right to change my mind later on” $1.29
AD Addicted2Combat picks Josh Fremd “most confident fighter is Josh Fremd Marcus McGee Martin Buday Khalil Rountree Jr. Terrance McKinney Da'Mon Blackshear Hakeem dawadu Jaqueline Amorim Iasmin Lucindo Rafael dos Anjos Luana Santos A.J. Dobson and least confident pick is Isaac delgarian”
BE BetVets picks Josh Fremd VALUE “Joshua's gonna [ __ ] on Jenny Pickett Jimmy pick is not good it's just like the Marcus McGhee fight really no comp there that's an easy win here for Joshua”
SM SPOOGE MMA picks Josh Fremd “I think Josh Fremd he's gonna win by submission”
BM Broke Bets MMA picks Josh Fremd VALUE “I did Josh Fremd um I think that he's just gonna be the better Grappler the better Striker”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Fremd11-6
L Petroski Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Kopylov KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
W Pickett Decision · R3 Aug '23
W Dumas Submission · R2 Mar '23
L Gore Submission · R2 Oct '22
Pickett13-11
L Anders Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Fremd Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Nickal Submission · R1 Mar '23
L Tiuliulin KO/TKO · R2 Sep '22
L Daukaus Submission · R1 Feb '22