Marcus McGhee vs JP Buys · Fight IQ

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BEST PRICE Prophecy read McGhee v Buys Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side

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Consensus35 picks · conf 58/99

McGhee 29

6 Buys

pick McGhee

Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side

McGhee 10-2 VS 9-6 Buys

5'8" height 5'5"

136 lb weight 136 lb

69" reach 67"

36 age 30

Orthodox stance Orthodox

6.1 strikes landed / min 1.9

48% striking accuracy 39%

2.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.0

64% striking defence 40%

0.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.6

33% takedown accuracy 25%

100% takedown defence 25%

0.5 submissions / 15 min 2.3

The model read

Deep research · camps & rumours

AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.

What the numbers say

Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.

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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight

MMA EXPERTS picks Marcus McGhee “I'm picking Marcus McGhee I have been all week” $1.27

TheGreyFaction picks Marcus McGhee “so no-brainer to me that he's going to pick up the win and probably by a finish let's say you TKO finish in the third round for Marcus McGhee”

Dogtough_UFCpredictions picks JP Buys VALUE “give me JP Bayes for the the biggest dog on the card to to the biggest dog”

Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Marcus McGhee “Marcus McGhee's going to be high on the board... Marcus McGhee's too tough too strong... he's going to be a real high confidence pick” $1.27

We Want Picks picks Marcus McGhee VALUE “Marcus McGhee My most confident pick on this card”

JohnnyKpicks picks Marcus McGhee VALUE “give me Marcus McGhee here to win”

We Want Picks picks Marcus McGhee VALUE “I think Marcus McGhee McGhee gets it done and then Josh Fremd Fremd is Josh Fremd Fremd minus 350 fighter probably not is just free minus 350 in this fight yeah he should be he's fighting Jamie Pickett and Jamie Pickett's a long Striker he can get some things done but the reality is Josh Fremd Fremd's gonna come in take him down and and he's just gonna do that over and over maybe get a submission or ride out a win I think Josh Fremd Fremd absolutely gets this done and I think he's a solid pretty safe favorite couple of underdogs Isaac Dulgarian dogarion Jacob's lock of the week the only reason I'm not all in on this kid is because yes he's 5-0 he's got five I think first round finishes but five finishes at least very very good wrestler we just haven't seen enough the people that he beat those five people are Regional bums and I don't mean that insultingly I guess I do I guess I do mean that insulting but not insulting to Isaac Dulgarian he did what he was supposed to do he dispatched the boss I just don't know how good he is yet and his opponent Francis Marshall Marshall coming off the loss I do not think Francis Marshall Marshall is a world beater but I did just watch him lose a fight where at the very last couple of minutes of the last round when he was down almost pulled off a submission that tells me that he's never gonna quit he's going to keep coming he's going to keep trying to win so all that being said Isaac Dulgarian dulgarian might be the next big thing Isaac Dulgarian Dulgarian might absolutely win this fight might run through him geez Jacob's lock of the week Jacob has money on him I don't just because I I just haven't seen enough but he is a good Underdog A.J. A.J. Dobson plus 121 he's the better fighter in that matchup he's taking on Tafon Nchukwi Tafon Nchukwi was bitching about middleweight I can't make middleweight it's too hard on my body went up to light heavy weight got his ass kicked a couple times he's back down at middleweight what changed the weight Cut's easy now what you nothing's changed he's just chasing a win I think A.J. A.J. Dobson has the wrestling he's also a very good Striker I think you can get it done and then Montserrat Ruiz Ruiz plus 210. let's listen don't go throwing five units on her and then saying oh you suck that's on you monster at Ruiz is a national champion wrestler I think she can come forward and get the takedowns her opponent Jaqueline Amorim has about 30 seconds of cardio before she starts to fade phenomenal fighter phenomenal fighter but doesn't have the cardio to fight more than you know half the first round so for that reason I think montserrat's a very solid underdog if she can grit through whatever wild storm comes her way early she can get her takedowns going show that National Champion caliber wrestling and potentially grind out a very close win let's talk about my actual bets I got a couple of bets going here I have two what three and a half units so a unit for me is 100 bucks I got 350 bucks on what might be the sketchiest card so far this year dos anos minus 125 half a unit I get it he's a little older he's not going to be the better striker in this matchup but he's still a very good Striker he will absolutely 100 be the better wrestler and better Grappler we watch Bilal Muhammad take down Vicente Luque Luce over and over and over again we've seen other people do the same including Michael kiesa yes he submitted Michael he has somebody caught him after kiesa uh over committed in a scramble I think Rafael dos Anjos dos anjos can come forward bomb crap bomb grapple I think he's just gonna stick to that game plan yes he's gonna be a little smaller I don't think it's going to matter Luana Luana Santos minus 140. I just talked through that with the um solid favorites piece she's gonna be the better fighter in this matchup Juliana Juliana Miller is insanely tough she's not a quitter she has got all the grit in the world but she doesn't necessarily have all the skills in the world just yet she's so early in her career Lana Luana Santos with that Judo background should absolutely be able to get this done and Da'Mon Da'Mon Blackshear look at me look how stupid I am BetOnline is our preferred book because they have the earliest lines and they have the most amount of profits it's insane the amount of profits that they have early lines are a gift and a curse they're a gift because you can they drop there and if they're wrong you can attack it before it gets normalized and then all the other books open up with the normalized dots I thought Da'Mon Blackshear blacks here at minus 350 was the discount of a lifetime I I threw two units on that and you guys know I'm very conservative two units for me is like oh [ __ ] I do two units on it minus 350. the dudes mine is 260 right now so I still think it hits I think at minus 260 it's an even better value obviously I have no clue why that line tightened no clue Da'Mon Da'Mon Blackshear should be the better wrestler versus a guy that has no takedown defense striking wise he could absolutely hang if not be the better Striker Jose Johnson Jose Johnson Johnson stepping up on short notice he's already big he's gonna have weight issues like I just don't see how demand loses this fight minus 350 I thought was a good value so imagine how I feel about today's line then a couple of props Terrance McKinney breeding over one and a half rounds plus 240 is insane on that line I get it I get it I don't know if Terrance McKinney has ever gone past one and a half rounds I don't know if he has but Terrance Terrance McKinney is most likely going to come out with a wrestle heavy game plan like he did in his last fight and if breeding can avoid being submitted which I think he will be he comes he stands up he's got a great get up game he gets taken down easily but a very good get up game I think Terrance McKinney's going to wrestle hard and I could absolutely see this fight going over one and a half rounds is it my most confident bet on this card no of course not is it the best odds yeah plus 240 was an incredible incredible get Montserrat Ruiz Ruiz over a half a takedown I just walked through all that well as well Montserrat Ruiz Ruiz is a national wrestling champion if she gets one takedown we have plus 140 on that are you serious yes her opponent is very good and very dangerous but again her opponent has a minute of cardio maybe two minutes max if Montserrat Ruiz Ruiz could weather that storm or get a quick takedown in a wild exchange boom that bed hit's done I don't care what happens after that we just need one takedown those takedown bets are bet online exclusives go to we want picks.com bet sign up with bet on young using our link and I'll send you 50 bucks even if you have like DraftKings in your state right not every state has access to that even if you have access to DraftKings great sports book super convenient but online is going to give you these awesome props like this even if that's all you use it for uh I love that bet honestly and I probably should have done more than a quarter of a unit and then I have a round prop parlay I took Josh Fremd Parisian and Martin Buday over one and a half I think they effed that line up straight up I think they saw heavyweights oh heavyweights one and a half rounds neither one of those guys are prolific finishers neither one so that's definitely going to get over one and a half at least I think so it's gonna be a whole bunch of back and forth a million significant strikes but we're gonna get past the seven and a half minute fight Mark and I parlayed that with Luana Santos Juliana Miller over two and a half a couple of young tough women neither one of them are gonna quit I do think that's gonna go to a decision probably a slopping sloppy back and forth crappling match quarter of unit on that app plus money here's your Jacob teaser remember last week Jacob crushed 90 of his bets are for premium members only he's got 11 total units as of right now there's always more that come after weigh-ins nine units of those are not on here as of right now he's got Isaac Dulgarian Dulgarian Isaac Dulgarian Dulgarian is his lock of the week Jacob picks an underdog every week so somebody who's supposed to lose an underdog every single week makes him his lock Isaac Dulgarian togarian guy met plus 139 that has Titan some money has come in on him if you're a premium member you've seen that alert and maybe you tailed it early Jaqueline Amorim Amore wins by submission he did multiple rounds that's why you see plus 250 plus 650 he did a couple of different rounds he's got uh 0.65 units on that total and then A.J. Dobson A.J. Dobson another dog that I mentioned earlier he threw a full unit on him he's very very confident in A.J. A.J. Dobson and then nine more units for him guys people are constantly that bet sucks your luck of the week sucks great you can bet the other side we've partnered with bet openly bed openly is peer-to-peer betting it's person to person so when I put a bet on the board it's literally my money from my pocket if you win that bet you take my money my children can't eat anymore because you took the money from me these poor kids I'm gonna have to send them to the neighbor's house to hopefully get a sandwich and he can't even be peanut butter and jelly because my youngest has a nut allergy absolute nerd that kid is but the reality is bed openly is awesome because it is person versus person and because it's person for first person because it's not a sports book they're not charging these big huge it's one percent so I got a couple of bets there's a link in the description go ahead bet the other side the anti-lock of the week we have a 100 bet on BET openly on Isaac Dulgarian Dulgarian you can get the other side of that you can bet Francis Marshall Marshall you can bet against if you win you literally take Jacob's money you could rub it in his face throw it in the comments section I just bought this with your money you loser that link is in the description an anti-safety parlay that link is in the Discord not the description because I put in the description you would know what the safety part is it's in the Discord for premium members what's really awesome about betting against parlays at Bed openly is if I have fighter a and fighter B you don't need both of them to lose to win the anti you just need one of them to lose if the parlay breaks you get paid so anybody who bet against the three leg last week got paid and then the last one is a five pick contest so it's ten dollars to enter the contest it's unlimited so thousands of people can enter 10 people enter whatever it is you do your best five picks and whoever has the best five picks takes the pop so if let's say there's 10 people in there there's a hundred dollars in the pot you have the best five picks you get 99 they keep one dollar for processing you get 99 so that link is in the description the more people that join the more the pot is the bigger the payout is so do all of those things I absolutely love a lot of the trolls a lot of the this is wrong that's wrong fade of the week now you can put your money where your mouth is and if you don't well quite frankly you're a [ __ ] sensor don't come at Jacob calling the fate of the week and then don't bet him on that pick I'll send you 50 bucks guys I'll send you 50 bucks I pay out thousands of dollars a week because we have hundreds of people that come in here use our Links at weonpix.com bets they sign up with a betting partner they fill out the little form basically you just need to give me your user ID and how you want to get paid I verify your account verify used our link and then boom there's your 50 bucks it's that simple takes a couple of days no big deal we onpix.com bets sign up make a deposit I'll send you 50 schmagalotes dollars” $1.27

MMA EXPERTS picks Marcus McGhee “I'm picking the side of Marcus McGhee to get the victory I really think he's gonna win the fight” $1.29