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UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodríguez
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Menifield v Crute Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus41 picks · conf 62/99
Menifield 27
14 Crute
EPMTMU pick Menifield
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Menifield 17-6-1 VS 14-4-2 Crute
6'0" height 6'2"
206 lb weight 205 lb
76" reach 74"
38 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.8 strikes landed / min 3.9
54% striking accuracy 53%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
49% striking defence 70%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
33% takedown accuracy 73%
76% takedown defence 76%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Alonzo Menifield “so Alonzo Menifield might be a good pick so if Alonzo Menifield is the is Alonzo Menifield the Alonzo Menifield he's plus money do we do here should we pick Alonzo Menifield”
EB ESPN BET picks Alonzo Menifield VALUE “I do like crude here I think this time it's like listen we know men feels tough power I got the grapple game let's go tatsuro Tyra under one and a half I think he gets the submission win here Vitor Petrino at minus 240. it's a little high for me if you want to take him inside the distance you might get a better number Cameron Saaiman by TK or kale I'm shocked his opponent Brett his last four opponents have a combined record of like three and twelve so I don't know how he's going to do against Simon was very tough I think he gets it done I'm gonna go Jesús Santos Aguilar I'm gonna go riverviks here Esteban Ribovics we saw him in his last fight very tough I just don't like Kamuela Kirk's low output volume I think that's where Esteban Ribovics takes over” $1.74
JR JrBlessed picks Alonzo Menifield VALUE “I'm a little bit leaning towards a manifold side”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Alonzo Menifield VALUE “I'm gonna go with Alonzo Alonzo Menifield he is the underdogginess so he's I don't have a lot of Underdog picks in this card um which is too bad because the last card remember half the fights of The Underdogs upset everybody but I mean it's hard to bet on people you don't think are gonna win anyways gonna go with lots of many fields slight lean very slight you know just uh just a smidge 50 plus percent like you know just barely over 50 percent that I'm confident Alonzo Alonzo Menifields gonna win but I'm gonna pick Alonzo Alonzo Menifield in this”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alonzo Menifield VALUE “yeah if we were getting this earlier in the week I think he was actually a slight Underdog at various points here minus 105 that would be my best bet” $1.95
SD Santino DeFranco picks Alonzo Menifield VALUE “I like Alonso a lot in this spot”
MB Martial U Breakdown picks Alonzo Menifield “I'm gonna go with Alonzo for this one”
DV Dissection Of Violence picks Alonzo Menifield “I'm gonna go with many Phil here”
TH TheWeasle picks Alonzo Menifield “the real one is Alonzo Menifield I think Alonzo Menifield and Alexander Volkanovski pantolza might be the real dogs of the card that are going to win their fights”
JR JrBlessed picks Alonzo Menifield “I just really feel like alonza Minnifield will end up getting the win”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jimmy Crute “I'm riding the Jimmy Crute side” $1.78
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Alonzo Menifield VALUE “Jimmy Crute needs to bring you know the wrestling singlet” $2.09
Recent form last five, most recent first
Menifield17-6-1
W Mingyang KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Oezdemir KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Sy Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Walker Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Murzakanov KO/TKO · R2 Aug '24
Crute14-4-2
W Erslan Submission · R1 Sep '25
W Prachnio Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Menifield Submission · R2 Jul '23
L Hill KO/TKO · R1 Dec '21
L Smith KO/TKO · R1 Apr '21