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UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodríguez
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Santos Aguilar v Ross Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus36 picks · conf 58/99
Santos Aguilar 31
5 Ross
HXBWdN pick Santos Aguilar
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Santos Aguilar 12-4 VS 13-9 Ross
5'4" height 5'6"
125 lb weight 126 lb
63" reach 66"
30 age 37
Orthodox stance Switch
5.3 strikes landed / min 6.0
50% striking accuracy 39%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 7.4
48% striking defence 55%
3.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
29% takedown accuracy 0%
53% takedown defence 100%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Shannon Ross VALUE “my favorite Underdog on the card though Shannon Ross at plus 125”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Shannon Ross VALUE “I'm picking Shannon Ross as an underdog to beat Jesús Santos Jesús Santos Aguilar” $2.24
JR JrBlessed picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE “Jesus should be able to push the pace and get that W”
HP Heavy P picks Jesús Santos Aguilar “give me Jesús Santos Aguilar”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Jesús Santos Aguilar “I Think Jesus Jesús Santos Aguilar is going to pull this off it's very slight lean towards him just because we haven't seen a whole bunch at this level and the guy he fought last time was so so so good that uh you know he's he's at a much higher level at than Shannon Shannon Ross so Jesus said Gola will be the pick”
DS Dynes Sports picks Shannon Ross VALUE “Shannon Ross would be believe for me Shannon Ross one of the only guys to against Clayton Yair Rodríguez certainly a favor here against Jesús Santos Aguilar fighter and tying in Jesús Santos Aguilar just because they all right and uh if if not shin and Shannon Ross um Shannon Ross um Shannon Ross would be believe for me Shannon Ross one of the only guys to against Clayton”
KU Kunath picks Jesús Santos Aguilar “I think what I like the most is Jesús Santos Aguilar because I do not believe in Shannon Ross one bit”
HY Hypecheck picks Jesús Santos Aguilar “I'm on Jesús Santos Aguilar all day here in the spot”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Shannon Ross VALUE “yeah going with Shannon Shannon Ross in a flyweight bout against Jesús Santos Jesús Santos Aguilar Shannon Ross is I think pretty easy to see the more skilled fighter”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Jesús Santos Aguilar “I gotta go with Aguilar on this one” $1.47
DV Dissection Of Violence picks Jesús Santos Aguilar “I'm gonna go with Jesús Santos Aguilar here”
JR JrBlessed picks Jesús Santos Aguilar “I'm gonna pick Jesús Santos Aguilar Jesús Santos Aguilar to get the win in a close fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Santos Aguilar12-4
L Mudaerji Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Gurule Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Estevam Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Nicoll Submission · R1 Aug '24
W Mendonça Decision · R3 Feb '24
Ross13-9
L Hyun-sung KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23
L Aguilar KO/TKO · R1 Jul '23
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23