Choose a fight to analyse
AV
YR
Volkanovski vs RodríguezMain Card · Featherweight
AP
BM
Pantoja vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
DP
RW
Plessis vs WhittakerMain Card · Middleweight
DH
JT
Hooker vs TurnerMain Card · Catchweight
BN
VW
Nickal vs WoodburnMain Card · Middleweight
RL
NP
Lawler vs PricePreliminary Card · Welterweight
TT
ÉC
Taira vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Catchweight
DG
YJ
Gomes vs JaureguiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AM
JC
Menifield vs CrutePreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
VP
MP
Petrino vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CS
TM
Saaiman vs MitchellEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
JA
SR
Aguilar vs RossEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
ER
KK
Ribovics vs KirkEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
YR
Volkanovski vs RodríguezMain Card · Featherweight
AP
BM
Pantoja vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
DP
RW
Plessis vs WhittakerMain Card · Middleweight
DH
JT
Hooker vs TurnerMain Card · Catchweight
BN
VW
Nickal vs WoodburnMain Card · Middleweight
RL
NP
Lawler vs PricePreliminary Card · Welterweight
TT
ÉC
Taira vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Catchweight
DG
YJ
Gomes vs JaureguiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AM
JC
Menifield vs CrutePreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
VP
MP
Petrino vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CS
TM
Saaiman vs MitchellEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
JA
SR
Aguilar vs RossEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
ER
KK
Ribovics vs KirkEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ribovics v Kirk
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ribovics 15-2
VS
12-6 Kirk
5'10"
height
—
155 lb
weight
—
69"
reach
—
30
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Switch
7.5
strikes landed / min
3.2
48%
striking accuracy
50%
5.0
strikes absorbed / min
5.9
57%
striking defence
40%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
66%
takedown accuracy
26%
61%
takedown defence
47%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kamuela Kirk VALUE
“I lean towards the dog in Kamuela Kirk ... so he will be my pick Yair Rodríguez”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kamuela Kirk VALUE
“I lean towards the dog in Kamuela Kirk ... so he will be my pick Yair Rodríguez”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Kamuela Kirk
“came as well look by finish could be live man I'm just saying very well could could be but I'm gonna go with your lock I agree with you 100 sticking with the pick Esteban ribovix”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Kamuela Kirk
“came as well look by finish could be live man I'm just saying very well could could be but I'm gonna go with your lock I agree with you 100 sticking with the pick Esteban ribovix”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Kamuela Kirk
“gonna go with Kamuela Kirk for the win gonna go with Kamuela Kirk and the the first pick on the card Kamuela Kirk delight”
The MMA-Holes picks Kamuela Kirk
“gonna go with Kamuela Kirk for the win gonna go with Kamuela Kirk and the the first pick on the card Kamuela Kirk delight”
EB
ESPN BET picks Esteban Ribovics VALUE
“I'm gonna go Esteban Ribovics riverfix and minus 150”
$1.67
ESPN BET picks Esteban Ribovics VALUE
“I'm gonna go Esteban Ribovics riverfix and minus 150”
$1.67
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Esteban Ribovics
“I'm fairly confident that Esteban Esteban Ribovics is going to win this I think this is going to be his first win in the UFC against kamuela Kamuela Kirk”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Esteban Ribovics
“I'm fairly confident that Esteban Esteban Ribovics is going to win this I think this is going to be his first win in the UFC against kamuela Kamuela Kirk”
DV
Dissection Of Violence picks Esteban Ribovics
“yeah Esteban Ribovics I have one in this fight”
Dissection Of Violence picks Esteban Ribovics
“yeah Esteban Ribovics I have one in this fight”
JR
JrBlessed picks Esteban Ribovics
“I could definitely see Esteban Ribovics simply getting the W uh in this fight”
JrBlessed picks Esteban Ribovics
“I could definitely see Esteban Ribovics simply getting the W uh in this fight”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Kamuela Kirk VALUE
“I'm going Kamuela Kirk uh he did beat Mach One Amir Connie which is you know a kind of legit win right”
$2.30
MMA EXPERTS picks Kamuela Kirk VALUE
“I'm going Kamuela Kirk uh he did beat Mach One Amir Connie which is you know a kind of legit win right”
$2.30
NN
Noah Nwadei picks Esteban Ribovics
“I'm choosing Esteban Ribovics”
Noah Nwadei picks Esteban Ribovics
“I'm choosing Esteban Ribovics”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Esteban Ribovics VALUE
“now I flipped I'm on the Esteban Ribovics side I think there is value on him uh I do have him in a couple small parlays like he's not gonna be my maker breaking my knight but I think there is some value on him and he will be my final pick”
Premium-Picks picks Esteban Ribovics VALUE
“now I flipped I'm on the Esteban Ribovics side I think there is value on him uh I do have him in a couple small parlays like he's not gonna be my maker breaking my knight but I think there is some value on him and he will be my final pick”
MS
Magic & Andrew MMA Betting Show picks Kamuela Kirk VALUE
“I like the Kamuela Kirk side here as you know and the reasons why I think he's clearly the better Grappler here”
Magic & Andrew MMA Betting Show picks Kamuela Kirk VALUE
“I like the Kamuela Kirk side here as you know and the reasons why I think he's clearly the better Grappler here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ribovics15-2
L
Gamrot
Apr '26
W
Brener
Aug '25
L
Haqparast
Mar '25
W
Zellhuber
Sep '24
W
McKinney
May '24
Kirk12-6
L
Ribovics
Jul '23
L
Jackson
Mar '22
W
Amirkhani
Jun '21