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UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Green v Gordon Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus11 picks · conf 31/99
Green 10
1 Gordon
HM1GUS pick Green
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Green 13-10-1 VS 21-8 Gordon
— height 5'9"
— weight 156 lb
— reach 68"
— age 37
— stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 2.9
— striking accuracy 48%
— strikes absorbed / min 2.0
— striking defence 62%
— takedowns / 15 min 2.6
— takedown accuracy 61%
— takedown defence 81%
— submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Bobby Green VALUE “I'm picking Bobby Green” $1.38
WP We Want Picks picks Bobby Green VALUE “Bobby Green should smoke Jared Gordon here”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Bobby Green VALUE “I see Bobby Green green unanimous decision” $1.39
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Bobby Green “I'm gonna go with Bobby Green anyway”
HB Half The Battle picks Bobby Green “my pick will be Bobby because I think if it's both of their best Nights Bobby is the better guy here” $1.36
HY Hypecheck picks Bobby Green VALUE “green is the favorite” $1.35
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Bobby Green “give me Bobby Green to bounce back and win this match up”
PR Premium-Picks picks Bobby Green VALUE “I think Bobby Green lights them up”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Bobby Green VALUE “I'm gonna go Bobby Bobby Green green on this one”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Jared Gordon VALUE “I like Jared Gordon Jared Gordon Gordon here” $3.12
WP We Want Picks picks Bobby Green VALUE “give me Bobby King Green in uh what might be his retirement if I hope not I love Bobby green this is a little bit biased but I just don't see anywhere where Jared Gordon is better than him in this fight” $1.40
GP Greedo Plays picks Bobby Green VALUE “give me Bobby Green to win by unanimous decision” $1.36
Recent form last five, most recent first
Green13-10-1
W Miller Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Turner KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Dawson KO/TKO · R1 Oct '23
W Ferguson Submission · R3 Jul '23
L Dober KO/TKO · R2 Dec '22
Gordon21-8
L Miller Submission · R1 May '26
L García KO/TKO · R3 Sep '25
W Moisés KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Haqparast Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Madsen KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23