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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Wells v Semelsberger Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Wells 5
5 Semelsberger
1SWWH pick Wells
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Wells 13-4-1 VS 11-8 Semelsberger
5'9" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 171 lb
74" reach 75"
39 age 33
Switch stance Switch
4.3 strikes landed / min 3.8
47% striking accuracy 42%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
63% striking defence 54%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
52% takedown accuracy 57%
52% takedown defence 45%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “I think Jeremiah iols wins because you can't necessarily trust Matt semmelsberger”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Jeremiah Wells “I'm going with Wells”
HY Hypecheck picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “I'm more than happy to back the fighter who face a way higher level competition”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Matthew Semelsberger “I do think he's gonna put him out with the shot man”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “I'm gonna go Jeremiah Wells to”
CL Clenbat picks Matthew Semelsberger “I think he will continue the rule even though he had a little bit of Hiccup beforehand”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “I will side with Jeremiah Jeremiah Wells Jeremiah Wells” $1.89
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE “I really like Matt salmonsberger for the win here likely by a decision” $2.95
WP We Want Picks picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE “give me Matthew Semelsberger Summers Burger in this matchup”
SY Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Matthew Semelsberger “gonna go to Matthew Semelsberger because I'm going with Matthew Semelsberger”
WP We Want Picks picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “Jeremiah Well's the pick minus 135 seems like very good value but I got my vasectomy and they may have taken out my manhood as well because I don't have the balls to bet on him here but I am going to pick him to win” $1.74
AM Artem MMA picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE “I like Matthew Semelsberger in the matchup I think we see symbolsbury get a late TKO or a decision” $2.25
Recent form last five, most recent first
Wells13-4-1
W Gorimbo Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Griffin Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Harris Submission · R3 Aug '23
W Semelsberger Decision · R3 Apr '23
W McGee KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22
Semelsberger11-8
L Radtke KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Parsons Decision · R3 Jan '24
L Medić KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23
L Wells Decision · R3 Apr '23
W Matthews Decision · R3 Dec '22