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UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Sakai v Mayes Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Sakai 3
2 Mayes
MUP pick Sakai
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Sakai 16-5-1 VS 11-7 Mayes
— height 6'6"
— weight 260 lb
— reach 81"
35 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 3.5
49% striking accuracy 43%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
48% striking defence 46%
0.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
40% takedown accuracy 38%
56% takedown defence 58%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Don'Tale Mayes VALUE “I think Don'Tale Mayes wins this fight”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Augusto Sakai VALUE “I'm gonna go with Augusto Sakai minus 138 money line I'm arriving man give me him that's who I got Augusto Sakai money line” $1.72
TF The ICE Files picks Don'Tale Mayes VALUE “I'm gonna go with dantale maze I think Augusto sakai's time is done”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Augusto Sakai “I'm picking Augusto Augusto Sakai”
WP We Want Picks picks Augusto Sakai VALUE “I think Haley Callan gets it done I think she's just too big too strong too athletic and she could avoid getting taken down” $1.77
WP We Want Picks picks Don'Tale Mayes VALUE “I'll go with Alan Perez I think she gets an early takedown of really malls this girl I mean I think it could be easy for him”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Augusto Sakai VALUE “I'm picking Eileen Perez to win this thing” $2.25
WP We Want Picks picks Don'Tale Mayes VALUE “I like Don'Tale Don'Tale Mayes here” $1.95
Recent form last five, most recent first
Sakai16-5-1
W Mayes Decision · R3 Feb '23
L Spivac KO/TKO · R2 Aug '22
L Tuivasa KO/TKO · R2 Dec '21
L Rozenstruik KO/TKO · R1 Jun '21
L Overeem KO/TKO · R5 Sep '20
Mayes11-7
L Petersen Decision · R3 May '25
L Walker Submission · R1 Feb '25
L Gaziev Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Machado Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Nascimento Decision · R3 Nov '23