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Aliev vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Allen vs MunizMain Card · Middleweight
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Sakai vs MayesMain Card · Heavyweight
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Suarez vs RosaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Malott vs LainesseMain Card · Welterweight
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Peek vs GonzalezPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Jasudavicius vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Leavitt vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Osbourne vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Solecki vs Deaton IIIPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Aliev vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Aliev v Alves
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Aliev 9-0
VS
20-12 Alves
5'10"
height
5'8"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
72"
reach
68"
25
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
1.9
51%
striking accuracy
48%
0.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
59%
striking defence
58%
3.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
44%
takedown accuracy
25%
0%
takedown defence
44%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Nurullo Aliev VALUE
“I'm picking him to get the win I'm gonna lean decision for a leave”
$1.59
MMA EXPERTS picks Nurullo Aliev VALUE
“I'm picking him to get the win I'm gonna lean decision for a leave”
$1.59
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Nurullo Aliev VALUE
“I'm picking alley of to win he should be able to work Rafael Alves over three rounds”
$1.56
MMA EXPERTS picks Nurullo Aliev VALUE
“I'm picking alley of to win he should be able to work Rafael Alves over three rounds”
$1.56
TF
The ICE Files picks Rafael Alves VALUE
“I think I'm gonna go with rafale Alves on this one I think he should be able to get it done I'm going with the underdog”
$2.55
The ICE Files picks Rafael Alves VALUE
“I think I'm gonna go with rafale Alves on this one I think he should be able to get it done I'm going with the underdog”
$2.55
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Nurullo Aliev
“I'm gonna side with the grappling work of narella leave in his UFC debut”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Nurullo Aliev
“I'm gonna side with the grappling work of narella leave in his UFC debut”
WP
We Want Picks picks Nurullo Aliev VALUE
“I like narulo Aleve here I think minus 210 is still reasonable”
$1.48
We Want Picks picks Nurullo Aliev VALUE
“I like narulo Aleve here I think minus 210 is still reasonable”
$1.48
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Nurullo Aliev
“I'm definitely taking a leave to get the job done here”
$1.54
Walk The Line MMA picks Nurullo Aliev
“I'm definitely taking a leave to get the job done here”
$1.54
SY
Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Rafael Alves VALUE
“I'm going with Raphael.”
Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Rafael Alves VALUE
“I'm going with Raphael.”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Nurullo Aliev VALUE
“I'm picking narulu Alia though he is kind of a Habib nurmagomedov knockoff”
$1.62
MMA EXPERTS picks Nurullo Aliev VALUE
“I'm picking narulu Alia though he is kind of a Habib nurmagomedov knockoff”
$1.62
WP
We Want Picks picks Nurullo Aliev VALUE
“I do like narulo here”
We Want Picks picks Nurullo Aliev VALUE
“I do like narulo here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Aliev9-0
W
Rock
Nov '25
W
Solecki
Jan '25
W
Alves
Feb '23
Alves20-12
L
Aliev
Feb '23
L
Dober
Jul '22
W
Diakiese
Nov '21
L
Ismagulov
May '21