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UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Leavitt v Martinez Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Leavitt 5
2 Martinez
MUSSW pick Leavitt
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Leavitt 13-4 VS 13-6 Martinez
5'9" height 5'8"
145 lb weight 156 lb
71" reach 70"
31 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.8 strikes landed / min 7.9
57% striking accuracy 51%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 7.7
68% striking defence 53%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
61% takedown accuracy 33%
75% takedown defence 80%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “I'm going with the side of Jordan Jordan Leavitt to get the win” $1.91
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “I'm gonna lean towards uh leave it uh 11 I should say and now I'm saying his name wrong because I got my words Twisted yeah Jordan Leavitt”
SH Sherdog.com picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “let's go I go for 11 and that one Jordan Leavitt”
SH Sherdog.com picks Victor Martinez “Jordan Leavitt back he's fighting Victor Martinez that's a a pick em fight there as well”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jordan Leavitt “I think Jordan Leavitt should win this fight I'm quite confident he does”
WP We Want Picks picks Victor Martinez “he's supposed to be a black belt but if you watch his fights you can grab I'm almost pretty confident that if you put me in the auction almost pretty confident if you put me in the Octagon versus Victor I'm pretty sure I could at least grab the back of his knee”
WP We Want Picks picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “I do think he wins only because Victor Martinez seems to get taken down by everybody he doesn't seem to be able to defend takedowns”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jordan Leavitt “I'm going The Monkey King I'm not giving up on Jordan Leavitt Leavitt yet” $1.91
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Victor Martinez VALUE “give me Victor Martinez” $1.83
WP We Want Picks picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “I'm going Jordan Leavitt's matchup”
SY Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “I'm going with Jordan Leavitt.”
WP We Want Picks picks Jordan Leavitt “I think Jordan leave is going to be the pick here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Leavitt13-4
L Brito Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Valle Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Holobaugh Submission · R1 May '25
L Hooper Submission · R1 Nov '23
W Martinez KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
Martinez13-6
L Nolan KO/TKO · R1 May '24
L Leavitt KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23