Choose a fight to analyse
EB
JA
Blanchfield vs AndradeMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
ZP
JW
Pauga vs WrightMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JP
JP
Pogues vs ParisianMain Card · Heavyweight
MP
WK
Prachnio vs KnightMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AH
JM
Hernandez vs MillerMain Card · Lightweight
NS
EE
Sadykhov vs ElderPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MS
LL
Silva vs LänsbergPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JE
KA
Emmers vs AskhabovPreliminary Card · Featherweight
PL
OP
Lins vs PreuxPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
AF
TG
Fletcher vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CC
JR
Carpenter vs RonderosPreliminary Card · Flyweight
JA
Blanchfield vs AndradeMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
ZP
JW
Pauga vs WrightMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JP
JP
Pogues vs ParisianMain Card · Heavyweight
MP
WK
Prachnio vs KnightMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AH
JM
Hernandez vs MillerMain Card · Lightweight
NS
EE
Sadykhov vs ElderPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MS
LL
Silva vs LänsbergPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JE
KA
Emmers vs AskhabovPreliminary Card · Featherweight
PL
OP
Lins vs PreuxPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
AF
TG
Fletcher vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CC
JR
Carpenter vs RonderosPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pauga v Wright
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pauga 7-3
VS
12-5 Wright
—
height
—
—
weight
—
—
reach
—
38
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
4.1
62%
striking accuracy
56%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
6.0
58%
striking defence
31%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
2.1
7%
takedown accuracy
45%
100%
takedown defence
100%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TF
The ICE Files picks Zac Pauga VALUE
“I think he wins this uh fight”
The ICE Files picks Zac Pauga VALUE
“I think he wins this uh fight”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Zac Pauga
“if this does get extended I do heavily favor him”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Zac Pauga
“if this does get extended I do heavily favor him”
CD
Cappers Direct picks Zac Pauga
“expecting Zac Pauga to get a knockout I looking at this fight Zac Pauga just got by Zac Pauga just got brutally knocked out in I'm seeing everyone's on Zac Pauga's side Zac Pauga knock him out”
Cappers Direct picks Zac Pauga
“expecting Zac Pauga to get a knockout I looking at this fight Zac Pauga just got by Zac Pauga just got brutally knocked out in I'm seeing everyone's on Zac Pauga's side Zac Pauga knock him out”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Jordan Wright VALUE
“I went with Jordan Jordan Wright”
101MMA Clinic picks Jordan Wright VALUE
“I went with Jordan Jordan Wright”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jordan Wright VALUE
“Jordan Wright Wright is a pump play that I think needs to be um owned um this week at 7 000 like if Jordan Wright Wright wins this fight there's a good chance he wins it within the first two minutes and 30 seconds”
$71.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jordan Wright VALUE
“Jordan Wright Wright is a pump play that I think needs to be um owned um this week at 7 000 like if Jordan Wright Wright wins this fight there's a good chance he wins it within the first two minutes and 30 seconds”
$71.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Zac Pauga VALUE
“give me Zac Pauga paugus definitely a play at 9200 as is Clayton Carpenter Clayton Carpenter Carpenter 9300 the wrestling upside he was the more dangerous fighter in this fight”
$93.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Zac Pauga VALUE
“give me Zac Pauga paugus definitely a play at 9200 as is Clayton Carpenter Clayton Carpenter Carpenter 9300 the wrestling upside he was the more dangerous fighter in this fight”
$93.00
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jordan Wright
“I'm gonna pick Jordan Wright to win this co-EVENT_DETAILS against Zach palgar”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jordan Wright
“I'm gonna pick Jordan Wright to win this co-EVENT_DETAILS against Zach palgar”
HB
Half The Battle picks Zac Pauga
“I will still pure pick Zac Pauga Pauga paulga to win this fight”
$1.36
Half The Battle picks Zac Pauga
“I will still pure pick Zac Pauga Pauga paulga to win this fight”
$1.36
WP
We Want Picks picks Zac Pauga VALUE
“palka is the pick honestly the value is going to be inside the distance”
We Want Picks picks Zac Pauga VALUE
“palka is the pick honestly the value is going to be inside the distance”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pauga7-3
L
Guskov
Feb '24
L
Bukauskas
Jun '23
W
Wright
Feb '23
L
Usman
Aug '22
Wright12-5
L
Pauga
Feb '23
L
Todorović
Oct '22
L
Barriault
Apr '22
L
Silva
Dec '21
W
Pickett
May '21