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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Carpenter v Ronderos
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Carpenter 8-2
VS
4-2 Ronderos
5'6"
height
5'3"
126 lb
weight
125 lb
66"
reach
65"
30
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.8
strikes landed / min
2.2
62%
striking accuracy
30%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
49%
striking defence
63%
1.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.7
31%
takedown accuracy
33%
50%
takedown defence
0%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“like me some Clayton Carpenter Carpenter as well at 9 300. uh nazim Nazim Sadykhov Sadykhov 8600 I think he's in play I like the volume that Nazim Sadykhov Sadykhov brings”
$94.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“like me some Clayton Carpenter Carpenter as well at 9 300. uh nazim Nazim Sadykhov Sadykhov 8600 I think he's in play I like the volume that Nazim Sadykhov Sadykhov brings”
$94.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Juancamilo Ronderos
“Juancamilo Ronderos I don't know if he used UFC caliber he's taken almost two years off got suspended um you know he's undersized for the division I think Clayton Carpenter Carpenter is going to be the better wrestler”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Juancamilo Ronderos
“Juancamilo Ronderos I don't know if he used UFC caliber he's taken almost two years off got suspended um you know he's undersized for the division I think Clayton Carpenter Carpenter is going to be the better wrestler”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Clayton Carpenter
“I'm gonna take Clayton Carpenter to win this match up”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Clayton Carpenter
“I'm gonna take Clayton Carpenter to win this match up”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“I'm going Clayton Carpenter Clayton Carpenter Carpenter here”
Santino DeFranco picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“I'm going Clayton Carpenter Clayton Carpenter Carpenter here”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Clayton Carpenter
“I'm going to be going with Clayton Carpenter”
THE MMA GURU picks Clayton Carpenter
“I'm going to be going with Clayton Carpenter”
CL
Clenbat picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“I'm going to Clayton Clayton Carpenter in this fight”
Clenbat picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“I'm going to Clayton Clayton Carpenter in this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“Clayton Carpenter Clayton Carpenter Carpenter is absolutely the pick”
We Want Picks picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“Clayton Carpenter Clayton Carpenter Carpenter is absolutely the pick”
AM
Artem MMA picks Clayton Carpenter
“I've got Clayton Carpenter I'm actually a very big fan of Clayton Carpenter”
Artem MMA picks Clayton Carpenter
“I've got Clayton Carpenter I'm actually a very big fan of Clayton Carpenter”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Carpenter8-2
L
Ochoa
May '26
L
Filho
Oct '25
L
Ulanbekov
Jan '25
W
Rocha
Oct '24
W
Ronderos
Feb '23
Ronderos4-2
L
Carpenter
Feb '23
L
Dvořák
May '21