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Prachnio vs KnightMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Sadykhov vs ElderPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Silva vs LänsbergPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Emmers vs AskhabovPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Hernandez v Miller
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Hernandez 18-8
VS
38-19 Miller
5'9"
height
5'8"
155 lb
weight
156 lb
72"
reach
71"
33
age
42
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
2.6
strikes landed / min
3.0
49%
striking accuracy
42%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.5
64%
striking defence
56%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
52%
takedown accuracy
44%
58%
takedown defence
49%
1.3
submissions / 15 min
1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“I am going to go Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez I'm not sure how the outcome of this is going to be I'm gonna say it's under 2.5 like Ryan said yeah under 2.5 is a good bet but uh I'm Gonna Leave This one without the cards but I am going to take Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“I am going to go Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez I'm not sure how the outcome of this is going to be I'm gonna say it's under 2.5 like Ryan said yeah under 2.5 is a good bet but uh I'm Gonna Leave This one without the cards but I am going to take Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez”
WP
We Want Picks picks Alexander Hernandez
“I do think Alexander Hernandez wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Alexander Hernandez
“I do think Alexander Hernandez wins this fight”
TF
The ICE Files picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“I think he beats Jim Miller”
The ICE Files picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“I think he beats Jim Miller”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Alexander Hernandez
“I don't see really progress in the guys I think they start doubting themselves you know and so why did he change the category before uh after that submission loss from from Renato then he lost like even in in 145 you know from from Billy even though let's say he really looked good until it started to go south you know and that's the question for me mindset short notice coming out of the tough loss uh so you know talking about that and now you're coming to the guy you know who is like orgy or or of EVENT_DETAILS you know like the most fights most wins I don't know like okay where to go like saying about Jim Miller Jim Miller Miller I think he's not getting enough recognition for what he did you know and especially that the guy who who was like even fighting with Lyme disease yeah for years you know and then late I think now in this stage of career he figure out how to better deal with that so that's the tough guy you know like and I don't know who left that finish him I can't King Charles oliviera if I'm gonna have a very naked joke yeah you know and he's gonna push forward you know and I think he's gonna break Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez and especially like uh with this odds like that he's Underdog with plus 190 you know like I'm not gonna put my money on on Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez in in with his resume you know like that he's Underdog I would maybe do opposite you know but like have your favorite to minus 225 for what you know you're not sure consistency”
$2.90
101MMA Clinic picks Alexander Hernandez
“I don't see really progress in the guys I think they start doubting themselves you know and so why did he change the category before uh after that submission loss from from Renato then he lost like even in in 145 you know from from Billy even though let's say he really looked good until it started to go south you know and that's the question for me mindset short notice coming out of the tough loss uh so you know talking about that and now you're coming to the guy you know who is like orgy or or of EVENT_DETAILS you know like the most fights most wins I don't know like okay where to go like saying about Jim Miller Jim Miller Miller I think he's not getting enough recognition for what he did you know and especially that the guy who who was like even fighting with Lyme disease yeah for years you know and then late I think now in this stage of career he figure out how to better deal with that so that's the tough guy you know like and I don't know who left that finish him I can't King Charles oliviera if I'm gonna have a very naked joke yeah you know and he's gonna push forward you know and I think he's gonna break Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez and especially like uh with this odds like that he's Underdog with plus 190 you know like I'm not gonna put my money on on Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez in in with his resume you know like that he's Underdog I would maybe do opposite you know but like have your favorite to minus 225 for what you know you're not sure consistency”
$2.90
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jim Miller VALUE
“Jim Miller Jim Miller Miller I think is going to be a very popular dog I think people are really low on Alexander Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandez but this is going to be a step down from the guys he has been facing”
$74.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jim Miller VALUE
“Jim Miller Jim Miller Miller I think is going to be a very popular dog I think people are really low on Alexander Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandez but this is going to be a step down from the guys he has been facing”
$74.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“I do lean towards Alexander Hernandez Jim Miller Jim Miller Miller is a dog I will be looking at this week for sure”
$90.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“I do lean towards Alexander Hernandez Jim Miller Jim Miller Miller is a dog I will be looking at this week for sure”
$90.00
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Alexander Hernandez
“my pick is Alexander to win this match up”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Alexander Hernandez
“my pick is Alexander to win this match up”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Alexander Hernandez
“Alexander Alexander Hernandez decided I want to be a 145er got down to that weight class made it had a very toughen moments”
$1.45
MMA EXPERTS picks Alexander Hernandez
“Alexander Alexander Hernandez decided I want to be a 145er got down to that weight class made it had a very toughen moments”
$1.45
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“I really like Alex Alexander Hernandez here”
Santino DeFranco picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“I really like Alex Alexander Hernandez here”
HB
Half The Battle picks Jim Miller VALUE
“I got Jim Miller Jim Miller Miller to come out here and finish Alexander Hernandezander Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez”
$3.00
Half The Battle picks Jim Miller VALUE
“I got Jim Miller Jim Miller Miller to come out here and finish Alexander Hernandezander Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez Alexander Hernandezander Hernandez”
$3.00
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hernandez18-8
L
García
Apr '26
W
Ferreira
Sep '25
W
Hooper
Aug '25
W
Holobaugh
Mar '25
W
Hubbard
Oct '24
Miller38-19
W
Gordon
May '26
L
Hooper
Apr '25
W
Jackson
Nov '24
L
Green
Apr '24
W
Benítez
Jan '24