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UFC 282: Błachowicz vs. Ankalaev
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JB MA Błachowicz vs AnkalaevMain Card · Light Heavyweight PP JG Pimblett vs GordonMain Card · Lightweight SP AM Ponzinibbio vs MoronoMain Card · Catchweight DP DT Plessis vs TillMain Card · Middleweight IT BM Topuria vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight RJ JP Jr. vs PerrinPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JR CD Rozenstruik vs DaukausPreliminary Card · Heavyweight ES DL Shahbazyan vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight CC JB Curtis vs BuckleyPreliminary Card · Middleweight BQ AH Quarantillo vs HernandezEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight TB ES Brown vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight CS SK Saaiman vs KoslowEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ponzinibbio v Morono Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus12 picks · conf 32/99
Ponzinibbio 9
3 Morono
H1UDKF pick Ponzinibbio
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ponzinibbio 30-8 VS 24-12 Morono
6'0" height 5'11"
170 lb weight 171 lb
73" reach 72"
39 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min 5.0
41% striking accuracy 40%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
61% striking defence 57%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
32% takedown accuracy 25%
66% takedown defence 47%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UP UFC FIGHT PASS picks Santiago Ponzinibbio “very much in in Santiago Ponzinibbio for me Santiago Ponzinibbio”
UP UFC FIGHT PASS picks Alex Morono “I'm gonna press stylistic matchup for Alex Morono”
JB Jonny Says Boxing picks Santiago Ponzinibbio “I'm gonna take Santiago Ponzinibbio just we're gonna take uh Santiago Ponzinibbio”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Santiago Ponzinibbio “I Gotta Give it to Santiago Ponzinibbio Santiago Ponzinibbio still looks really good Alex Morono took it on a short notice so that worries me as well”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Alex Morono VALUE “I'm gonna pick Alex Morono for the upset” $2.55
SN SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Santiago Ponzinibbio “I got Santiago Ponzinibbio winning this one ... I think Santiago Ponzinibbio is decision”
DS Dynes Sports picks Santiago Ponzinibbio “if I'm making a pick right now it has to be Santiago Ponzinibbio”
DS Dynes Sports picks Alex Morono VALUE “Alex Morono at dog money is is the play I'm going to be going with”
KU Kunath picks Santiago Ponzinibbio “I think Santiago Ponzinibbio wins this fight by decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Santiago Ponzinibbio VALUE “venetius probably wins this fight” $90.00
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Santiago Ponzinibbio VALUE “I'm gonna go with Santiago on this one”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Santiago Ponzinibbio “I'm gonna side with Santiago to win this match up”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ponzinibbio30-8
L Rodriguez KO/TKO · R3 May '25
W Harris KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Salikhov Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Holland KO/TKO · R3 Apr '23
W Morono KO/TKO · R3 Dec '22
Morono24-12
L Donchenko Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Leal KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Price Decision · R3 Jun '24
W McGee Decision · R3 Apr '24