MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 282: Błachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Choose a fight to analyse
JB MA Błachowicz vs AnkalaevMain Card · Light Heavyweight PP JG Pimblett vs GordonMain Card · Lightweight SP AM Ponzinibbio vs MoronoMain Card · Catchweight DP DT Plessis vs TillMain Card · Middleweight IT BM Topuria vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight RJ JP Jr. vs PerrinPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JR CD Rozenstruik vs DaukausPreliminary Card · Heavyweight ES DL Shahbazyan vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight CC JB Curtis vs BuckleyPreliminary Card · Middleweight BQ AH Quarantillo vs HernandezEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight TB ES Brown vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight CS SK Saaiman vs KoslowEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Curtis v Buckley Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus12 picks · conf 32/99
Curtis 8
4 Buckley
ATDKFP pick Curtis
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Curtis 32-12 VS 21-7 Buckley
5'10" height 5'10"
170 lb weight 171 lb
76" reach 76"
38 age 32
Orthodox stance Southpaw
5.8 strikes landed / min 4.1
51% striking accuracy 36%
6.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
52% striking defence 57%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
0% takedown accuracy 46%
82% takedown defence 69%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Chris Curtis VALUE “I Gotta Give it to Chris Curtis his hands are [__] lead and Joaquin Joaquin Buckley he is fast he's athletic but I mean as soon as he feels a hand from Chris Curtis I feel like it's gonna be over”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “I'm going Joaquin Buckley by knockout”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Chris Curtis VALUE “I'm going Chris Curtis”
KU Kunath picks Chris Curtis VALUE “give me Chris Chris Curtis at plus money at a very winnable matchup”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Chris Curtis “I'm Gonna Roll with Chris Curtis”
WP We Want Picks picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “I think Joaquin Buckley probably wins this fight” $86.00
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Joaquin Buckley “I'm gonna side with Joaquin Buckley”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Chris Curtis VALUE “I gotta go with with Chris Curtis” $2.43
CD Cappers Direct picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
CD Cappers Direct picks Chris Curtis VALUE
WP We Want Picks picks Joaquin Buckley “pick is Joaquin Buckley”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Chris Curtis VALUE “I think he's very loud to win this fight so 7700 for Chris Curtis I don't mind him as a dog”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Curtis32-12
L Orolbai Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Griffin Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Kopylov KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Allen Decision · R5 Apr '24
W Barriault Decision · R3 Jan '24
Buckley21-7
L Brady Decision · R3 May '26
L Usman Decision · R5 Jun '25
W Covington KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
W Thompson KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W Ruziboev Decision · R3 May '24