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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Magomedov v Stoltzfus
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Magomedov 28-7-1
VS
16-8 Stoltzfus
6'2"
height
6'0"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
78"
reach
75"
35
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
3.6
38%
striking accuracy
44%
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
2.5
74%
striking defence
50%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
60%
takedown accuracy
71%
65%
takedown defence
52%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Abusupiyan Magomedov
“i'm going to be going with a Abusupiyan Magomedov 24 and four press of record has tons of finishes he's got uh 13 finishes and six submissions so i think he'll be able to get it done against Dustin Stoltzfus”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Abusupiyan Magomedov
“i'm going to be going with a Abusupiyan Magomedov 24 and four press of record has tons of finishes he's got uh 13 finishes and six submissions so i think he'll be able to get it done against Dustin Stoltzfus”
WP
We Want Picks picks Abusupiyan Magomedov
“Abusupiyan Magomedov should win this fight i think he's the more dangerous he should win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Abusupiyan Magomedov
“Abusupiyan Magomedov should win this fight i think he's the more dangerous he should win this fight”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE
“I think Abusupiyan Magomedov kind of rolls here”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE
“I think Abusupiyan Magomedov kind of rolls here”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“i i i'm on abu here uh i think he's got clean powerful striking and dustin is so much nothing uh the one thing i really liked was that that kind of uh choke that abu did shows me he knows at least something a little that power guillotine that he was that he was working he knows a little bit of something i didn't dig crazy crazy into this i know stoltzfus really really well he does so much of nothing but some things also i don't love him i i think now he's you know kind of short notice didn't look great against dwight grant i mean it was probably 1-1 going into the third and you know he's an idiot throwing his hands up uh i like abu here i think this is a set up spot ufc telling you that who they want to win uh so we're going to go mogu med off yup”
Santino DeFranco picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“i i i'm on abu here uh i think he's got clean powerful striking and dustin is so much nothing uh the one thing i really liked was that that kind of uh choke that abu did shows me he knows at least something a little that power guillotine that he was that he was working he knows a little bit of something i didn't dig crazy crazy into this i know stoltzfus really really well he does so much of nothing but some things also i don't love him i i think now he's you know kind of short notice didn't look great against dwight grant i mean it was probably 1-1 going into the third and you know he's an idiot throwing his hands up uh i like abu here i think this is a set up spot ufc telling you that who they want to win uh so we're going to go mogu med off yup”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Abusupiyan Magomedov
“i do like magmet up here quite a bit the one thing like i said is that layoff um but outside of that i think this guy's very good so i do like mogamoto to win um i think he can win by knockout i think he could win by submission solstice has been subbed twice and i think he could win by decision um i guess a mostly leading decision is because dulces is a very very tough guy he can take a shot so i'll say magametto by decision”
$1.37
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Abusupiyan Magomedov
“i do like magmet up here quite a bit the one thing like i said is that layoff um but outside of that i think this guy's very good so i do like mogamoto to win um i think he can win by knockout i think he could win by submission solstice has been subbed twice and i think he could win by decision um i guess a mostly leading decision is because dulces is a very very tough guy he can take a shot so i'll say magametto by decision”
$1.37
WP
We Want Picks picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE
“i got to pick my dude off i put a money line bet on him as well i just don't see anywhere where dustin wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE
“i got to pick my dude off i put a money line bet on him as well i just don't see anywhere where dustin wins this fight”
SN
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
1M
138 MMA picks Abusupiyan Magomedov
“i think magametov has this fight won everywhere this fight takes place”
138 MMA picks Abusupiyan Magomedov
“i think magametov has this fight won everywhere this fight takes place”
AM
Artem MMA picks Abusupiyan Magomedov
“I think a boost paying should win”
Artem MMA picks Abusupiyan Magomedov
“I think a boost paying should win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dustin Stoltzfus
“i am gonna do a slight lean here for Dustin Stoltzfus”
We Want Picks picks Dustin Stoltzfus
“i am gonna do a slight lean here for Dustin Stoltzfus”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Magomedov28-7-1
W
Oleksiejczuk
Jun '26
L
Pyfer
Oct '25
W
Pereira
Apr '25
W
Ferreira
Oct '24
W
Alves
May '24
Stoltzfus16-8
L
Gastelum
Sep '25
L
Ruziboev
May '25
W
Barriault
Nov '24
L
Ferreira
Jun '24
W
Soriano
Dec '23