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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ziam v Figlak Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Ziam 2
6 Figlak
SW pick Ziam
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ziam 18-4 VS 8-2 Figlak
6'1" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 156 lb
75" reach 70"
29 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 4.0
43% striking accuracy 39%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.9
61% striking defence 52%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
37% takedown accuracy 12%
66% takedown defence 57%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Farès Ziam “i'm gonna have to side with the people with more efc experience even though i'm not a big fan of zm i'm gonna have to side with them like i just can't pick a debut fighter”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Michal Figlak “i'm gonna go with michael figleck um i think he looks good all around undefeated he's gonna have a lot of momentum coming in here against Farès Ziam i'm off a loss too so that'll be in his head but uh i think it's gonna be michael fig like i have hard time betting against people from poland especially so i'm definitely gonna be going with him probably get it done by hoping to finish”
WP We Want Picks picks Michal Figlak “i think Michal Figlak wins this fight” $86.00
SD Santino DeFranco picks Farès Ziam VALUE “i like fig lack here a lot um just as a whole like you said he does all of the right stuff my only worry about this fight and i don't think it really is a worry but the thing i think he's gonna have a harder time with is his wrestling is generally body lock type takedowns and going against a taller rangier guy that may just be difficult you know doing that just picking up tall people because it's not like his body lock takedowns are amazing body lock takedowns he's just grabbing people and throwing them down against i am who's tall and ranging gangly i think that's going to make life a little bit hard for him but the forward pressure of fig lack is amazing the cardio is amazing and his jiu jitsu scrambles are really amazing i think fig lack is going to have a harder time with good people who he can't take down and wrestling is his weakest point not that it's horrible but that i think that's probably his weakest point zion is not the guy zion has a jab i mean that's pretty much it like that's that's that's really what siam has and we've already seen this fight play out with madge and we saw it play out with malarkey and i thought he lost some malarkey fight i i feel like this is going to be a very similar fight to uh both of those where fig lack is moving forward throwing volume going and ziam is trying to create space and jab his way to to victory there but um yeah i i like fig lack here i think he's a good uh good fighter all around and i think as i am is is on borrowed time”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Michal Figlak “give me a Michal Figlak for the win thing like to win by decision” $1.48
WP We Want Picks picks Michal Figlak VALUE “i think fig lack wins a wrestling decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Farès Ziam VALUE “i'm going with zion because he is the better more technical striker”
SH Sherdog.com picks Michal Figlak VALUE “i am going for Michal Figlak and he is minus 185 uh to win his fight here” $1.54
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Michal Figlak VALUE “i'm going to side with Michal Figlak to win this fight”
AM Artem MMA picks Michal Figlak “oh i'm gonna go with Michal Figlak in this one here i think that this guy should be able to out point Farès Ziam”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Michal Figlak VALUE “i'll ride with fig lock” $1.55
WP We Want Picks picks Michal Figlak “Michal Figlak is the pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ziam18-4
L Nolan Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Sadykhov KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Davis Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Frevola KO/TKO · R3 Sep '24
W Puelles Decision · R3 Feb '24
Figlak8-2
L Ziam Decision · R3 Sep '22