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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Quiñónez v Taha Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Quiñónez 7
3 Taha
1MSATW pick Quiñónez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Quiñónez 18-5 VS 13-5 Taha
height 5'5"
weight 135 lb
reach 69"
30 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 2.6
40% striking accuracy 32%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
55% striking defence 46%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
37% takedown accuracy 0%
84% takedown defence 61%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MP MMA Prophecy picks Khalid Taha VALUE “i'm going to stick with my original pick i'm going to go with kalyn tahar to get the win by decision”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Cristian Quiñónez VALUE “i'm going to be going with the underdog value here Cristian Quiñónez he is really fast he looked good at dana white contender series press of record and three nine of those being knockouts so i think he'll get it done against Khalid Taha especially coming off those losses aha so i'm gonna go with Cristian Quiñónez just to win”
WP We Want Picks picks Cristian Quiñónez VALUE “i do like Cristian Quiñónez to win this fight” $80.00
SD Santino DeFranco picks Cristian Quiñónez VALUE “i like him here i think his cardio is great the only thing that that worries me actually is and this is with quite a few of these fights as we're in france now how how i mean how is the travel how are you know usually these guys from mexico are used to coming up to vegas how is it going you know halfway across the world yeah and the other thing too is a short notice for kinones right he was uh he was a late replacement and yeah yeah like you said traveling from mexico versus germany it's a big difference um when when you're already across the pond this was one i was thinking taha also i was thinking easily taha uh i don't love the fight here's the other thing i also i also believe you're looking at the level of competition that quinones is fighting and then you're looking at the level of competition that taha is fighting taha's losing to the rayoni barcelos of the world not you know having close fights with the chinese guy on contender series um i i want to say taha here but i i don't really have a basis and the formula seems pretty simple right you have that really short stubby guy that looks like he's probably going to gas out by throwing big overhands and doing big movements versus the guy who's going to be kind of in and out striking at range so it's okay does his chin hold up uh will he get up off the bottom and if he does great quinone is probably going to win this fight but in hindsight this could also look like man we really missed out on a huge opportunity to take taha on a huge step down in competition so um for me it might just be a sit out fight and uh and kind of download the data if i had to to give one i'm gonna say taha with zero conviction it's interesting i think man um when we saw let me see i'm queen yonas his last loss was against victor madrigal who i thought he was a lot better than and then he just some weird stuff weird scrambles uh we talk about it purple belt jiu-jitsu doing too much creating too much and and losing that that was when he was 22. um i i think he's he's got a lot of mileage on him since then in a good way not not in a bad way um i i think level of competition is definitely different but we we have seen time and again some of these guys that we've we've seen come up uh mokayev we've talked about him in his level of competition where it was bad and so we're like oh you know blah blah but then he still comes in and does what he needs to do and people talk about roy jones jr in his prime i never fought anybody he never fought anybody well he fought who was in front of him and he looked good doing it just because they weren't up to par doesn't mean that he wasn't up to par and i think that's this way with quinones i think we're going to see that he is actually pretty good uh and honestly i all right so here is really what i'm saying is i i don't know that taha is as good as i thought he was previously i guess that's it i thought taha was really really good and after watching tape on him i'm going i don't know that he's as good as i thought he was so i guess i guess it's more that what whether i think he's taking a huge step down in competition yes but i don't think he's that high himself of competition all right fair enough let's move right along”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Khalid Taha “i'm gonna say taha with zero conviction”
HB Half The Battle picks Khalid Taha “I've been waiting for a boost to make his uh debut for a long time” $1.38
WP We Want Picks picks Cristian Quiñónez VALUE “i think he can still outwork outpace taha to win”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Khalid Taha VALUE “i'm gonna side with Khalid Taha to win this fight”
AM Artem MMA picks Cristian Quiñónez VALUE “i'll be siding with the underdog and Cristian Quiñónez”
TF The ICE Files picks Cristian Quiñónez VALUE “i'm leaning towards Cristian Quiñónez on this one i think i'm going with the underdog”
1M 138 MMA picks Cristian Quiñónez VALUE “i'm gonna take the short notice replacement and currently he is an underdog so picking the dog here in Cristian Quiñónez”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Cristian Quiñónez “i'm gonna lean taha on the cards” $1.77
Recent form last five, most recent first
Quiñónez18-5
W Moutinho Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Taha KO/TKO · R1 Sep '22
Taha13-5
L Quiñónez KO/TKO · R1 Sep '22
L Morozov Decision · R3 Jul '21
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Nov '20
W Salmon KO/TKO · R1 Apr '19
L Narimani Decision · R3 Jul '18