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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Sherman v Vanderaa
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Sherman 16-12
VS
12-10 Vanderaa
6'4"
height
—
254 lb
weight
—
78"
reach
—
36
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
6.0
strikes landed / min
5.0
45%
striking accuracy
44%
6.7
strikes absorbed / min
5.7
52%
striking defence
45%
0.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.2
50%
takedown accuracy
50%
74%
takedown defence
20%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Chase Sherman
“if bandera decides to stand in bang with Chase Sherman which i kind of think that's what he's gonna do unfortunately um Chase Sherman is gonna have some opportunities”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Chase Sherman
“if bandera decides to stand in bang with Chase Sherman which i kind of think that's what he's gonna do unfortunately um Chase Sherman is gonna have some opportunities”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i think bandera should win this fight if he does go for takedowns”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i think bandera should win this fight if he does go for takedowns”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i feel like jared's just going to be a bit more aggressive in this one push the pace a bit more and Chase Sherman i do feel like Chase Sherman will start getting tired after the halfway through round two and that's why i feel like Jared Vanderaa is really gonna start putting it on him and they'll get a win here maybe a ko finish but i'll just roll with Jared Vanderaa moneyline well yeah man could see a finisher over to the EVENT_DETAILS division”
MMA Prophecy picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i feel like jared's just going to be a bit more aggressive in this one push the pace a bit more and Chase Sherman i do feel like Chase Sherman will start getting tired after the halfway through round two and that's why i feel like Jared Vanderaa is really gonna start putting it on him and they'll get a win here maybe a ko finish but i'll just roll with Jared Vanderaa moneyline well yeah man could see a finisher over to the EVENT_DETAILS division”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Chase Sherman
“my prediction i'm gonna take Chase Sherman”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Chase Sherman
“my prediction i'm gonna take Chase Sherman”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Chase Sherman
“i said i could see it being somebody like peter yan uh raphael Rafael Fiziev um chimayov these these guys”
Santino DeFranco picks Chase Sherman
“i said i could see it being somebody like peter yan uh raphael Rafael Fiziev um chimayov these these guys”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Jared Vanderaa
“Chase Sherman vs Jared Vanderaa”
Santino DeFranco picks Jared Vanderaa
“Chase Sherman vs Jared Vanderaa”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Chase Sherman VALUE
“i'm gonna edge vendera to get the job done here”
Walk The Line MMA picks Chase Sherman VALUE
“i'm gonna edge vendera to get the job done here”
AM
Artem MMA picks Chase Sherman VALUE
“i'm picking vendira”
Artem MMA picks Chase Sherman VALUE
“i'm picking vendira”
TF
The ICE Files picks Jared Vanderaa
“i'm leaning a bit towards jared bandra”
The ICE Files picks Jared Vanderaa
“i'm leaning a bit towards jared bandra”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i do think he loses here though i think this fight will literally come down the volume i don't see a stoppage but i do see a ton of strikes chase has the higher output but he's also hit way more i think jared lands a ton i think he might actually threaten a takedown finally and if he fights sherman the way he fought andre alofsky or justin tafa he should cruise to a unanimous decision win so Jared Vanderaa is the pick”
We Want Picks picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i do think he loses here though i think this fight will literally come down the volume i don't see a stoppage but i do see a ton of strikes chase has the higher output but he's also hit way more i think jared lands a ton i think he might actually threaten a takedown finally and if he fights sherman the way he fought andre alofsky or justin tafa he should cruise to a unanimous decision win so Jared Vanderaa is the pick”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Sherman16-12
L
Williams
May '23
L
Cortes-Acosta
Nov '22
W
Vanderaa
Jul '22
L
Romanov
Apr '22
L
Collier
Jan '22
Vanderaa12-10
L
Cortes-Acosta
Oct '22
L
Sherman
Jul '22
L
Oleinik
Apr '22
L
Arlovski
Feb '22
L
Romanov
Oct '21