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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Mullarkey v Johnson Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus12 picks · conf 32/99
Mullarkey 7
5 Johnson
MATDKW pick Mullarkey
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mullarkey 18-8 VS 0-0 Johnson
6'0" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 156 lb
74" reach 74"
31 age 40
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.4 strikes landed / min 4.3
46% striking accuracy 39%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
53% striking defence 57%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
34% takedown accuracy 41%
78% takedown defence 81%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jamie Mullarkey “I'm going with Jamie Mullarkey”
KU Kunath picks Jamie Mullarkey VALUE “I really like Nina Nunes to win this fight”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jamie Mullarkey “i am higher on the Jamie Mullarkey side”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Jamie Mullarkey VALUE “i think Jamie Mullarkey's got more of an output you know he really puts it on guys man doesn't take a back step and yeah really good combos mixes it up dude's got some power great match up i see Jamie Mullarkey getting the win possibly a finish and i'm feeling confident with that pit”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jamie Mullarkey “i'm gonna take cynthia calvillo”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Michael Johnson “i'm gonna take Michael Johnson to go back to back with the wins”
SH Sherdog.com picks Michael Johnson VALUE “do you know what i like johnson at that price he looked good last time out he's been training with uh stanford mma you know ian gary has said a lot of good things about him and i you know i like Michael Johnson he's a very very good fighter” $3.10
SD Santino DeFranco picks Michael Johnson “Jamie Mullarkey vs Michael Johnson”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Jamie Mullarkey “Jamie Mullarkey vs Michael Johnson”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jamie Mullarkey “we're riding with uh jamie malarkey for the win” $1.46
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Jamie Mullarkey VALUE “give me jamie malarkey to get the job done here and uh potentially by finish as well”
TF The ICE Files picks Jamie Mullarkey “i'm probably leaning towards Jamie Mullarkey” $1.42
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mullarkey18-8
L Salkilld Submission · R1 Feb '26
W Bedoya Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Ruffy KO/TKO · R1 May '24
L Haqparast KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Makdessi Decision · R3 Sep '23
Johnson0-0
L Dober KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Zellhuber Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Azaitar KO/TKO · R2 Dec '24
W Flowers Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Ferreira KO/TKO · R2 May '23