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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Shevchenko v Casey Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Shevchenko 6
4 Casey
USADWM pick Shevchenko
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Shevchenko 10-4 VS 10-10 Casey
5'8" height 5'7"
125 lb weight 125 lb
67" reach 67"
41 age 39
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 4.3
55% striking accuracy 39%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
52% striking defence 55%
0.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
42% takedown accuracy 31%
53% takedown defence 39%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Cortney Casey “AJ picks Cortney Casey”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Antonina Shevchenko “FATE it's Antonina Shevchenko andersefchenko 8 700”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Antonina Shevchenko VALUE “i'm gonna go with Antonina Shevchenko to get a win because i do believe this will be a stand-up fight”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Antonina Shevchenko “i'm gonna side with the lesser chef shenko i'm gonna side with antonina”
SH Sherdog.com picks Antonina Shevchenko “i'm going for Antonina Shevchenko here straight up at plus 175 and let me just check that up the enterprise there yeah she's still around plus seventy one two plus one seventy five uh she's taking on Cortney Casey at the weekend and i don't maybe have as uh as much of a breakdown in this fight as i had on that one only to say that i really respect what antonina shashinko has done over the last few years um you know she's uh did i say did i say quesadilla i mean uh Cortney Casey because she casey she fought the last time and andrea lee is one she ended up losing borderless fights but that win over ariane lipski uh you know going to the decision with uh uh with uh which kailyn chuke and you know those were pretty good uh uh you know performances and okay i think andrei is a very good fighter i think casey o'neil is a very very good fighter as well but i think against someone like um like Cortney Casey who is very much you know she doesn't have the you know unbelievable jiu jitsu or anything like that she doesn't have unbelievable striking she's kind of a forward pressure trying to put you on the back foot push you against the cage and dominate you there i i think that like if you see some of the names that be beat her recently i think she was beaten by someone who could like andre lee who could tactically fight very well as a striker and he was also a good wrestler in the middle of the cage or casey who's a very good all-around fighter i i think shashinko is at her best when someone tries to come hand to her and she can throw one two three off the back foot slip around and get away i think she's better in the clinch as well obviously you know we know valentina she's very very good in the clinch as well and i think that is probably the best place for Cortney Casey to win this fight if she does win it to push her against the kid or the player she'll want a minute i i can't see multiple big double leg takedowns in the middle of the cage against shinko even though that's what you would probably want against shiv shinko i just don't in case he has that in her locker to be honest uh against someone like shiv shinkan now i could be wrong i could be wrong here again and you know it's funny i'm saying oh she's performed very well over the last few years when she's lost three or four last four fights in terms of jeshica but still i think people will get what i mean especially the the lipsky performance where she showed improvements on the ground as well um and i just think Cortney Casey you know who has lost two for last three fights two got you know choked out by julian rodriguez uh beaten in a striking match by by j.j aldrich in a spit decision that was close but if you look at jj aldridge and you look at um you look at shiva shinko you would probably say it as you know is a a better version of jj aldridge in terms of a striker she's a better um you know a better technician a better tactician and all of that and it's probably a good marker for how this fight will go if i think it'll go to the decision i think uh i think casey will put it on her she'll push her against the cage at times but we have to remember as well just pushing someone against the cage as we saw under already met down the saliva sea fight last week that doesn't win you fight you have to be landing strikes and i feel like casey will have long-term success against the cage but it won't actually do her much interesting land strikes and defeating the outside and end up probably winning the winning the decision here so yeah i'm going for shinko just straight up uh plus are at minus 175” $1.57
SD Santino DeFranco picks Cortney Casey VALUE “i think courtney casey here and we saw andrea lee hurt shevchenko with the hands rock her and then you know really beat her up i i don't know i mean i think courtney if she just pulls the trigger”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Antonina Shevchenko “i'm riding with chevchenko” $1.57
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Cortney Casey VALUE “i'm gonna pick Cortney Casey to to defeat antonina shevchenko here”
AM Artem MMA picks Antonina Shevchenko “i'm picking Antonina Shevchenko to win”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Cortney Casey VALUE “i'm going to be going with Cortney Casey here i'll trust her to get this one done she puts out good volume she's got decent enough grappling i reckon she'll get this one done just barely on the numbers”
WP We Want Picks picks Antonina Shevchenko VALUE “because i think this stays on the feet i need to go with the better striker and that is going to be antonina”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Shevchenko10-4
W Casey Decision · R3 Jul '22
L O'Neill KO/TKO · R2 Oct '21
L Lee Submission · R2 May '21
W Lipski KO/TKO · R2 Nov '20
L Chookagian Decision · R3 May '20
Casey10-10
L Shevchenko Decision · R3 Jul '22
W Jojua Decision · R3 Nov '21
L Aldrich Decision · R3 Mar '21
L Robertson Submission · R3 Jun '20
W Borella Submission · R1 May '20