Choose a fight to analyse
JA
AL
Andrade vs LemosMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
CP
CG
Puelles vs GuidaMain Card · Lightweight
MB
MR
Barber vs RosaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
CJ
LV
Jourdain vs VannataMain Card · Featherweight
MB
JW
Barriault vs WrightMain Card · Catchweight
SK
DG
Khandozhko vs GrantPreliminary Card · Welterweight
TP
IV
Pedro vs VillanuevaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
AQ
CE
Qileng vs ElsePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
PP
EE
Parsons vs ElderPreliminary Card · Welterweight
PL
MP
Lins vs PrachnioPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MJ
DB
Jackson vs BarryPreliminary Card · Welterweight
AL
Andrade vs LemosMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
CP
CG
Puelles vs GuidaMain Card · Lightweight
MB
MR
Barber vs RosaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
CJ
LV
Jourdain vs VannataMain Card · Featherweight
MB
JW
Barriault vs WrightMain Card · Catchweight
SK
DG
Khandozhko vs GrantPreliminary Card · Welterweight
TP
IV
Pedro vs VillanuevaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
AQ
CE
Qileng vs ElsePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
PP
EE
Parsons vs ElderPreliminary Card · Welterweight
PL
MP
Lins vs PrachnioPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MJ
DB
Jackson vs BarryPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Puelles v Guida
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Puelles 13-5
VS
38-21 Guida
5'10"
height
5'7"
156 lb
weight
155 lb
72"
reach
70"
30
age
44
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.2
strikes landed / min
2.6
57%
striking accuracy
33%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
53%
striking defence
61%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
3.1
38%
takedown accuracy
36%
89%
takedown defence
67%
1.4
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Clay Guida VALUE
“i'm gonna pick Clay Guida to get the win and beat the prospect Claudio Puelles here”
$1.95
MMA EXPERTS picks Clay Guida VALUE
“i'm gonna pick Clay Guida to get the win and beat the prospect Claudio Puelles here”
$1.95
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Clay Guida VALUE
“Clay Guida to get we got”
MMA Prophecy picks Clay Guida VALUE
“Clay Guida to get we got”
WP
We Want Picks picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“i think Claudio Puelles wins this fight and i think it's because Clay Guida is over 40 he's definitely starting to slow down”
We Want Picks picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“i think Claudio Puelles wins this fight and i think it's because Clay Guida is over 40 he's definitely starting to slow down”
CO
Covers picks Clay Guida
“a gun to my head i'd probably lean towards Clay Guida”
Covers picks Clay Guida
“a gun to my head i'd probably lean towards Clay Guida”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Claudio Puelles
“i am going to be picking Claudio Puelles to win this fight”
Walk The Line MMA picks Claudio Puelles
“i am going to be picking Claudio Puelles to win this fight”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Clay Guida VALUE
“i am going to go with Clay Guida here”
THE MMA GURU picks Clay Guida VALUE
“i am going to go with Clay Guida here”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“i'm gonna side with Claudio Puelles to win this matchup”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“i'm gonna side with Claudio Puelles to win this matchup”
WP
We Want Picks picks Claudio Puelles
“the pick is Claudio Puelles”
We Want Picks picks Claudio Puelles
“the pick is Claudio Puelles”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Puelles13-5
L
Silva
Sep '25
L
Ziam
Feb '24
L
Hooker
Nov '22
W
Guida
Apr '22
W
Gruetzemacher
Dec '21
Guida38-21
L
Hooper
Dec '24
L
Silva
Dec '23
L
García
Apr '23
W
Holtzman
Dec '22
L
Puelles
Apr '22