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UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Parsons v Elder Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus2 picks · conf 10/99
Parsons 1
1 Elder
M pick Parsons
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Parsons 11-5 VS 10-2 Elder
5'11" height 5'10"
171 lb weight 156 lb
71" reach 72"
30 age 29
Orthodox stance Switch
3.5 strikes landed / min 2.0
51% striking accuracy 60%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
55% striking defence 71%
3.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.5
36% takedown accuracy 44%
71% takedown defence 90%
2.4 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MP MMA Prophecy picks Preston Parsons VALUE “I was gonna pick Preston Parsons”
WP We Want Picks picks Evan Elder VALUE “i do think Evan Elder can squeak out a win he's the more talented guy he's very well-rounded he's got a great team”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Parsons11-5
L Smith KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
L Elliott Decision · R3 Jul '24
W Semelsberger Decision · R3 Jan '24
L Giles Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Elder Decision · R3 Apr '22
Elder10-2
W Young Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Flowers Submission · R2 Jul '24
W Valdez Decision · R3 Jul '23
L Sadykhov KO/TKO · R3 Feb '23
L Parsons Decision · R3 Apr '22