MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pedro v Villanueva Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Pedro 5
0 Villanueva
UAWWM pick Pedro
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pedro 10-5 VS 18-14 Villanueva
6'3" height 6'1"
205 lb weight 205 lb
79" reach 73"
34 age 42
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.9 strikes landed / min 3.7
59% striking accuracy 38%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 7.2
56% striking defence 36%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
30% takedown accuracy 50%
50% takedown defence 100%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MP MMA Prophecy picks Tyson Pedro VALUE “i like Tyson Pedro leaning towards the tires in Tyson Pedro's Tyson Pedro to get a win”
WP We Want Picks picks Tyson Pedro “Tyson Pedro probably wins but if he's rusty on his feet and his takedowns are sloppy lIke Villanueva's got decent takedown defense”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Tyson Pedro “i got pedro to win the fight” $1.15
AM Artem MMA picks Tyson Pedro “i will be picking Tyson Pedro on this one but i think -500 is a favorite is pretty heavy” $1.20
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tyson Pedro “i'm going to take Tyson Pedro” $1.20
WP We Want Picks picks Tyson Pedro “tyson's the pick” $6.00
AM Artem MMA picks Tyson Pedro “i'm picking pedro to win the fight here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pedro10-5
L Petrino Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Turkalj KO/TKO · R1 Sep '23
L Bukauskas Decision · R3 Feb '23
W Hunsucker KO/TKO · R1 Aug '22
W Villanueva KO/TKO · R1 Apr '22
Villanueva18-14
L Pedro KO/TKO · R1 Apr '22
L Negumereanu KO/TKO · R1 Oct '21
L Prachnio KO/TKO · R2 Jun '21
W Moreira KO/TKO · R2 Jan '21
L Wright KO/TKO · R1 Aug '20