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UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape · breakdown

The UFC Odds Are Wrong...

IM IMIGHTBEWRONG MMA60% hit
6 months ago 3W–5L · -3.3u 8/10 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TB Tereza Bledá v Jamey-Lyn Horth MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to go Tereza Bledá.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.68 → close$1.69
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish
NM Neil Magny v Yaroslav Amosov MONEYLINE LOST
“Yaroslav Amosov is a huge favorite. Avoid it.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.50 → close$4.50
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
KN Kennedy Nzechukwu v Marcus Buchecha MONEYLINE
“I'm going Kennedy Nzechukwu”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.80 → now$1.85
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
BR Brandon Royval v Manel Kape MONEYLINE LOST
“I think Brandon Royval would win”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.50 → close$3.50
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
KV Kevin Vallejos v Giga Chikadze MONEYLINE WON
“I'm gonna go Kevin Vallejos.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.35 → close$1.35
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
AL Amanda Lemos v Gillian Robertson MONEYLINE —
“I'm gonna go Amanda Lemos... but the thing might TKO uh Gillian Robertson here.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.75 → now$2.80
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
LJ Lance Gibson Jr. v King Green MONEYLINE LOST —
“I do not trust King Green's King Green versus Lance Gibson Jr. go Lance Gibson Jr. by knockout rounds”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.80 → close$2.90
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
SA Steven Asplund v Sean Sharaf MONEYLINE WON —
“uh Sean Sharaf was knocked out out [laughter] Um, Steven Asplund. He has to go with Steven Asplund rounds one or”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.47 → close$1.47
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
MC Melquizael Costa v Morgan Charrière MONEYLINE WON —
“I can really see Melquizael Costa Melquizael Costa rounds two or three finish.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.91 → close$1.95
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
CA César Almeida v Cezary Oleksiejczuk MONEYLINE LOST —
“I think César Almeida will 100%”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.80 → close$2.80
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish