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Bloody Water Podcast
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · breakdown

Topuria vs Oliveira – UFC 317 Main Card Picks + Props

BP Bloody Water Podcast56% hit
12 months ago 4W–2L · +3.4u 6/7 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
IT Ilia Topuria v Charles Oliveira PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I'm going with Ilio and the knockout shot.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.25 close$1.24
Topuria’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.67
BD Beneil Dariush v Renato Moicano MONEYLINE WON
“I like Beneil Dariush Moneyline.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.01 close$2.01
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
AP Alexandre Pantoja v Kai Kara-France PROP · SUBMISSION WON
“I'm rocking Alexandre Pantoja. I'm actually going with submission.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.47 close$1.44
Pantoja’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.10
PT Payton Talbott v Felipe Lima MONEYLINE WON
“I do. Derek, as much as I I agree with you that I think this is one of the not necessarily harder fights that pay Talba's going to have, but stylistically it's going to bring back a lot of the PTSD... I was actually back and forth so many times between these two fighters because... whoever's in that zone... is going to be able to take over.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.62 close$2.62
entry: 1xBet · best in any region at publish
RM Renato Moicano v Beneil Dariush MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm rocking with him. I'm also rocking with money line. I like Renato Moicano, Derek.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.91 close$1.91
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
FL Felipe Lima v Payton Talbott MONEYLINE LOST
“Felipe Felipe Lima Felipe Lima is going to get this fight to the ground. He is going to try to beat him up and dominate him.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.59 close$1.60
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
BR Brandon Royval v Manel Kape MONEYLINE VALUE
“I'm going Brandon Brandon Royval Roy ball right off the jump.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.05 now$2.05
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)