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Topuria vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
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Dariush vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight
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Hermansson vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Araújo vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Talbott vs LimaMain Card · Bantamweight
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Price vs SmithPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CO
Topuria vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
AP
KK
Pantoja vs Kara-FranceMain Card · Flyweight
BD
RM
Dariush vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight
JH
GR
Hermansson vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
VA
TC
Araújo vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BR
JV
Royval vs VanMain Card · Flyweight
PT
FL
Talbott vs LimaMain Card · Bantamweight
HA
JD
Amil vs DelgadoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TM
VB
McKinney vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JD
AH
Diniz vs HinesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
NP
JS
Price vs SmithPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Talbott
over Lima · Bantamweight
Our fair value$2.47
pays above fair
$2.55
Best prices · Talbott
Caesars · US
$2.50
Betfair Sportsbook · UK
$2.50
Coolbet · EU
$2.55
PlayUp · AU
$2.50
Where to back Talbott
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.47
US
Caesars
$2.50
+1%
Caesars
$2.50
+1%
UK
Betfair Sportsbook
$2.50
+1%
Betfair Sportsbook
$2.50
+1%
EU
Coolbet
$2.55
+3%
Coolbet
$2.55
+3%
AU
PlayUp
$2.50
+1%
PlayUp
$2.50
+1%
How it endsmethod calls · Talbott · crowd line
KO/TKO
17
$3.49
Decision
5
$11.87
None
2
$29.69
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Talbott 9-0
VS
13-1 Lima
5'10"
height
5'6"
135 lb
weight
135 lb
70"
reach
68"
27
age
28
Switch
stance
Orthodox
8.4
strikes landed / min
3.3
55%
striking accuracy
52%
3.6
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
51%
striking defence
64%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.3
0%
takedown accuracy
50%
90%
takedown defence
80%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
1.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market40% vs 39%
Consensus58 of 131 analysts
Sharpest angleTalbott by KO/TKO — 17 of 24 method calls
Recommendation
Back Talbott @ $2.55 · fair $2.47
+3% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MD
mdminds picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“I think overall the better fighter all around is Felipe Lima ... I think Payton Talbott, Felipe Lima in a bantamweight bout ... I'll just say Felipe Lima”
mdminds picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“I think overall the better fighter all around is Felipe Lima ... I think Payton Talbott, Felipe Lima in a bantamweight bout ... I'll just say Felipe Lima”
MD
mdminds picks Felipe Lima VALUE
“I think Felipe Lima will show the young Buck what a full three rounds looks like”
mdminds picks Felipe Lima VALUE
“I think Felipe Lima will show the young Buck what a full three rounds looks like”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Felipe Lima VALUE
B ALL N Sports picks Felipe Lima VALUE
TS
The Mike Finch Show picks Felipe Lima VALUE
“I think Felipe Lima wins this thing. ... I'm going to go Felipe Lima. Rear naked strangle probably first or second round.”
The Mike Finch Show picks Felipe Lima VALUE
“I think Felipe Lima wins this thing. ... I'm going to go Felipe Lima. Rear naked strangle probably first or second round.”
TS
The Open Mat Show picks Felipe Lima VALUE
“I got to be honest going have to go Felipe Lima via Moano taking on Beneil Dariush.”
The Open Mat Show picks Felipe Lima VALUE
“I got to be honest going have to go Felipe Lima via Moano taking on Beneil Dariush.”
RX
RX picks Felipe Lima
“Give me Felipe Lima by decision.”
RX picks Felipe Lima
“Give me Felipe Lima by decision.”
MM
MMAFightingonSBN picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“think guys like Payton Talbott Felipe Lima I mean a Joshua Van coming out of nowhere.”
MMAFightingonSBN picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“think guys like Payton Talbott Felipe Lima I mean a Joshua Van coming out of nowhere.”
BE
BetSam picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“Payton Talbott plus 150. Give me a piece of the action.”
$2.50
BetSam picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“Payton Talbott plus 150. Give me a piece of the action.”
$2.50
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“My first one is on Payton Talbot as an underdog at around plus 150.”
$2.50
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“My first one is on Payton Talbot as an underdog at around plus 150.”
$2.50
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Felipe Lima
“I think Talbot has the counter striking ability where he is able to counter the extreme aggression that Felipe Lima brings.”
$1.67
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Felipe Lima
“I think Talbot has the counter striking ability where he is able to counter the extreme aggression that Felipe Lima brings.”
$1.67
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Talbott9-0
W
Cejudo
Dec '25
W
Lima
Jun '25
L
Barcelos
Jan '25
W
Ghemmouri
Jun '24
W
Saaiman
Mar '24
Lima13-1
L
Talbott
Jun '25
W
Johns
Dec '24
W
Naimov
Jun '24