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UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
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IT CO Topuria vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight AP KK Pantoja vs Kara-FranceMain Card · Flyweight BD RM Dariush vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight JH GR Hermansson vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight VA TC Araújo vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BR JV Royval vs VanMain Card · Flyweight PT FL Talbott vs LimaMain Card · Bantamweight HA JD Amil vs DelgadoPreliminary Card · Featherweight TM VB McKinney vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight JD AH Diniz vs HinesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight NP JS Price vs SmithPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Araújo over Cortez · Women'S Flyweight Our fair value$2.84 Betsson pays above fair $3.15
Where to back Araújo best price · region · EV vs fair $2.84
US FanDuel $3.10 +9%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $2.88 +1%
EU Betsson $3.15 +11%
AU SportsBet $3.08 +8%
Consensus92 picks · conf 82/99
Araújo 38
54 Cortez
MBPMDR pick Araújo
How it endsmethod calls · Araújo · crowd line
Submission 1 $59.65
Decision 20 $2.98
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Araújo 13-6 VS 11-2 Cortez
— height 5'5"
— weight 125 lb
— reach 65"
39 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.0 strikes landed / min 3.7
47% striking accuracy 47%
4.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
56% striking defence 57%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
43% takedown accuracy 45%
80% takedown defence 62%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market35% vs 32%
Consensus38 of 92 analysts
Sharpest angleAraújo by Decision — 20 of 21 method calls
Recommendation Back Araújo @ $3.15 · fair $2.84 +11% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Viviane Araújo “Dave and I are on Viviane Araújo Rojo”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Tracy Cortez VALUE “I'm gonna pick Tracy Cortez” $1.39
TA TakeDownTalks picks Tracy Cortez VALUE “I got to pick Tracy Cortez here. Arus is 38. Yeah, give me Tracy Cortez by decision.”
TS The Mike Finch Show picks Viviane Araújo “We're gonna go slight dog Viviane Araújo over Tracy Cortez.”
RX RX picks Viviane Araújo “Give me Viviane Araújo by decision.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Tracy Cortez “Cortez doesn't really push a pace whatsoever.” $1.38
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Viviane Araújo VALUE “Let's start with my favorite underdog this weekend and that is Viviane Araújo at plus 210 against Tracy Cortez.” $3.10
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Viviane Araújo VALUE “So Vivia Roou is going to be my prediction against Tracy Cortez. I'll pick her to win via decision.”
AH Aaron Haden picks Viviane Araújo “I'm gonna go with Niko Price, Denise McVey, Terrance McKinney, uh, Viviane Araújo, Jose Miguel Delgado, Gregory Rodrigues, aka Gregory Rodrigues, Payton Talbott Renato Moicano Joshua Van”
WP We Want Picks picks Tracy Cortez “I do think Tracy Cortez wins. I'm going to pick her.”
BY BYJOINTDECISION picks Viviane Araújo “My official pick is Arzo Moneyline.” $1.51
KC Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Tracy Cortez VALUE “I would go with the younger fighter in Cortez here.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Araújo13-6
L Cortez Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Silva Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Silva Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Maia Decision · R3 Oct '23
L Ribas Decision · R3 Mar '23
Cortez11-2
L Blanchfield Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Araújo Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Namajunas Decision · R5 Jul '24
W Jasudavicius Decision · R3 Sep '23
W Gatto Decision · R3 May '22