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UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
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IT CO Topuria vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight AP KK Pantoja vs Kara-FranceMain Card · Flyweight BD RM Dariush vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight JH GR Hermansson vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight VA TC Araújo vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BR JV Royval vs VanMain Card · Flyweight PT FL Talbott vs LimaMain Card · Bantamweight HA JD Amil vs DelgadoPreliminary Card · Featherweight TM VB McKinney vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight JD AH Diniz vs HinesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight NP JS Price vs SmithPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Van over Royval · Flyweight Our fair value$1.55 Caesars pays above fair $1.87
Where to back Van best price · region · EV vs fair $1.55
US Caesars $1.87 +21%
UK LiveScore Bet $1.84 +19%
EU Coolbet $1.84 +19%
AU PointsBet (AU) $1.85 +19%
Consensus96 picks · conf 83/99
Royval 11
85 Van
TBBCMM pick Royval
How it endsmethod calls · Van · crowd line
KO/TKO 9 $5.51
Submission 1 $49.63
Decision 21 $2.36
None 1 $49.63
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Royval 17-7 VS 16-2 Van
5'9" height 5'5"
125 lb weight 124 lb
68" reach 65"
33 age 24
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 8.4
39% striking accuracy 53%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 6.1
47% striking defence 58%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
75% takedown accuracy 63%
45% takedown defence 83%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market64% vs 53%
Consensus85 of 96 analysts
Sharpest angleVan by Decision — 21 of 32 method calls
Recommendation Back Van @ $1.87 · fair $1.55 +21% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Brandon Royval “Fight Pics are taking Brandon Royval”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Joshua Van “I'm taking Joshua Van”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Joshua Van VALUE “Joshua Van plus 100” $2.00
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Brandon Royval VALUE “Brandon Royval is very Brandon Royval by sub plus 700”
12 12Coffees picks Joshua Van “Yo aquí creo que va a ganar Joshua Van y se va es el tipo de peleadores ahorita tipo Diego López y demás que van así. Yo pienso igual que va a ganar Joshua Van”
MD mdminds picks Joshua Van VALUE “Joshua Van minus 130 on the money line” $1.77
BS B ALL N Sports picks Brandon Royval VALUE “I look for Brandon Royval to end up getting this done by decision.”
BT BetMGM Tonight picks Brandon Royval VALUE “Brandon Royval there as an underdog in the flyway bout against Josh Ban.”
TA TakeDownTalks picks Brandon Royval VALUE “Give me Brandon Royval by decision or submission.”
TS The Open Mat Show picks Joshua Van VALUE “Joshua Van's best feel like we haven't really seen Joshua Van be grapple, push um Joshua Van against a cage, really tire Joshua Van out”
JB Jonny Says Boxing picks Joshua Van VALUE “Brandon Royval will swing that arm on him.”
CS CBS Sports picks Joshua Van VALUE “Joshua Van looks like the future of this division.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Royval17-7
L Kape KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
L Van Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Taira Decision · R5 Oct '24
W Moreno Decision · R5 Feb '24
L Pantoja Decision · R5 Dec '23
Van16-2
W Taira KO/TKO · R5 May '26
W Pantoja KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Royval Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Silva KO/TKO · R3 Jun '25
W Tsuruya Decision · R3 Mar '25