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UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
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IT CO Topuria vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight AP KK Pantoja vs Kara-FranceMain Card · Flyweight BD RM Dariush vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight JH GR Hermansson vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight VA TC Araújo vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BR JV Royval vs VanMain Card · Flyweight PT FL Talbott vs LimaMain Card · Bantamweight HA JD Amil vs DelgadoPreliminary Card · Featherweight TM VB McKinney vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight JD AH Diniz vs HinesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight NP JS Price vs SmithPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Hines over Diniz · Heavyweight Our fair value$4.21 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $4.75
Where to back Hines best price · region · EV vs fair $4.21
US BetOnline.ag $4.75 +13%
UK Grosvenor $4.70 +12%
EU Unibet (NL) $4.70 +12%
AU TABtouch $4.70 +12%
Consensus73 picks · conf 76/99
Diniz 52
21 Hines
TBDDTP pick Diniz
How it endsmethod calls · Hines · crowd line
KO/TKO 7 $6.62
Decision 4 $11.58
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Diniz 9-2 VS 7-1 Hines
6'4" height 6'2"
257 lb weight 265 lb
80" reach 74"
35 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min —
40% striking accuracy —
3.4 strikes absorbed / min —
58% striking defence —
2.6 takedowns / 15 min —
44% takedown accuracy —
54% takedown defence —
0.1 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market24% vs 21%
Consensus21 of 73 analysts
Sharpest angleHines by KO/TKO — 7 of 11 method calls
Recommendation Back Hines @ $4.75 · fair $4.21 +13% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Jhonata Diniz “I'm sticking with what the sensible pick would be, and that's Jhonata Diniz”
MR Milo Reyes picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “I think Jhonata Diniz is going to knock him out”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “taking on Alvin Hines at 7100 think Alvin Hines looks like a don't like Alvin Hines at all. I think fight.” $92.00
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alvin Hines VALUE “think Alvin Hines looks like a don't like Alvin Hines at all. I think fight.” $72.00
BS B ALL N Sports picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “I think it's going to be probably later in round two when he gets this done.”
TA TakeDownTalks picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “Give me Jhonata Diniz by second round or first round knockout.”
TS The Mike Finch Show picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “I'm going Denise. I think this is a lock. ... I got Janata Denise via knockout, but a decision's fine.”
RX RX picks Alvin Hines VALUE “Give me Alvin Alvin Hines by decision.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “Janad Denise minus 325.” $1.31
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “Another dog play, Jhonata Diniz against Alvin Hines... at plus 270, I'm willing to hope.” $3.70
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alvin Hines “Denise, who's the better kickboxer.” $1.29
AB Ashkon Bets picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “I'm definitely betting on that and you should as well.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Diniz9-2
L Pinto KO/TKO · R2 Oct '25
W Hines Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Tybura KO/TKO · R2 Nov '24
W Williams Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Lane KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
Hines7-1
L Diniz Decision · R3 Jun '25