UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
YZ
Youssef Zalal
v Jack Shore
MONEYLINE
WON
Youssef Zalal
v Jack Shore
MONEYLINE
WON
“at the books zal is a minus 235 favorite but something about this matchup has the model thinking that Jack Will Come Away with the win”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.37
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
JS
Jack Shore
v Youssef Zalal
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jack Shore
v Youssef Zalal
MONEYLINE
LOST
“something about this matchup has the model thinking that Jack Will Come Away with the win”
Line since pick
CLV −13%
◆ entry$3.22
→
close$3.70
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
IP
Ivana Petrović
v Jamey-Lyn Horth
MONEYLINE
LOST
Ivana Petrović
v Jamey-Lyn Horth
MONEYLINE
LOST
“at the books Jam Lynn is a moderate minus 200 favorite but the model has her slightly lower atus 140”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.85
→
close$2.95
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JH
Jamey-Lyn Horth
v Ivana Petrović
MONEYLINE
WON
Jamey-Lyn Horth
v Ivana Petrović
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model has her slightly lower atus 140 I don't hate betting horth here but I believe that she'll need to keep it standing for her best chance of Victory”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.50
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
RN
Rodrigo Nascimento
v Alexander Romanov
MONEYLINE
LOST
Rodrigo Nascimento
v Alexander Romanov
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the bookmakers have hrio as a small minus 121 favorite in this fight the model also has very little confidence but still favors naso atus 108”
Line since pick
CLV −8%
◆ entry$1.95
→
close$2.11
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
AR
Alexander Romanov
v Rodrigo Nascimento
MONEYLINE
WON
Alexander Romanov
v Rodrigo Nascimento
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model also has very little confidence but still favors naso atus 108”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.01
→
close$1.97
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
AS
Ariane da Silva
v Jasmine Jasudavicius
MONEYLINE
LOST
Ariane da Silva
v Jasmine Jasudavicius
MONEYLINE
LOST
“at the books Jaz deicious is a moderate minus 220 favorite but the model prefers arani in this fight”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.45
→
close$1.45
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
JJ
Jasmine Jasudavicius
v Ariane da Silva
MONEYLINE
WON
Jasmine Jasudavicius
v Ariane da Silva
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model prefers arani in this fight”
Line since pick
—
no market data captured for this fight
PM
Pedro Munhoz
v Aiemann Zahabi
MONEYLINE
LOST
Pedro Munhoz
v Aiemann Zahabi
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model thinks that this fight will go the other way given an even larger minus 121 Edge to zahabi”
Line since pick
CLV −9%
◆ entry$2.15
→
close$2.35
entry: PointsBet (AU) · best in any region at publish
AZ
Aiemann Zahabi
v Pedro Munhoz
MONEYLINE
WON
Aiemann Zahabi
v Pedro Munhoz
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model thinks that this fight will go the other way given an even larger minus 121 Edge to zahabi”
Line since pick
CLV +8%
◆ entry$1.95
→
close$1.80
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
TG
Trevin Giles
v Mike Malott
MONEYLINE
LOST
Trevin Giles
v Mike Malott
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model has this fight close to a pick them with Mike atus 105”
Line since pick
CLV −17%
◆ entry$3.25
→
close$3.90
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
MM
Mike Malott
v Trevin Giles
MONEYLINE
WON
Mike Malott
v Trevin Giles
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model has this fight close to a pick them with Mike atus 105”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.40
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
CM
Caio Machado
v Brendson Ribeiro
MONEYLINE
LOST
Caio Machado
v Brendson Ribeiro
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Machado is a - 157 favorite at the books but the model gives hio a very small minus 110 Edge”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.69
→
close$1.70
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
BR
Brendson Ribeiro
v Caio Machado
MONEYLINE
WON
Brendson Ribeiro
v Caio Machado
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model gives hio a very small minus 110 Edge”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.43
→
close$2.40
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
RN
Rose Namajunas
v Erin Blanchfield
MONEYLINE
LOST
Rose Namajunas
v Erin Blanchfield
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model believes that rose has a significant Advantage”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.20
→
close$2.20
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
EB
Erin Blanchfield
v Rose Namajunas
MONEYLINE
WON
Erin Blanchfield
v Rose Namajunas
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model believes that rose has a significant Advantage”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.80
→
close$1.80
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
BM
Brandon Moreno
v Amir Albazi
MONEYLINE
WON
Brandon Moreno
v Amir Albazi
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model also favors Brandon in this fight but at minus 103 it may as well suggest we flip a coin”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.62
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
AA
Amir Albazi
v Brandon Moreno
MONEYLINE
LOST
Amir Albazi
v Brandon Moreno
MONEYLINE
LOST
“this division needs a new Challenger for the title Amir Albazi could be that guy if he can get past Brandon Moreno this weekend”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.53
→
close$2.50
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish