UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · breakdown
UFC Rio Betting Predictions | Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot | First Strike
FV
First Strike - VSiN51% hit
8 months ago
5W–5L · -0.2u
10/12 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MG
Mateusz Gamrot
v Charles Oliveira
MONEYLINE
LOST
Mateusz Gamrot
v Charles Oliveira
MONEYLINE
LOST
“So, we'll grab Gameamrock at minus 108.”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$2.00
→
close$1.95
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
MA
Michael Aswell
v Lucas Almeida
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Michael Aswell
v Lucas Almeida
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“The one I can't wait to bet is NOT_IN_ROSTER_38 here... NOT_IN_ROSTER_38 by submission, you can get it 425.”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.75
→
close$1.74
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
JP
Julia Polastri
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Julia Polastri
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“Pstri is a big-time underdog against Julia Polastri.”
Line since pick
CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.29
→
close$1.22
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
JÁ
Joel Álvarez
v Vicente Luque
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Joel Álvarez
v Vicente Luque
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“Joel Álvarez is a finisher. We know that Joel Álvarez does not get paid by the minute.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.20
→
close$1.20
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
VL
Vicente Luque
v Joel Álvarez
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Vicente Luque
v Joel Álvarez
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I think for Vicente Luque vs Joel Álvarez, he's going to eat a lot of punches.”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$6.00
→
close$5.80
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
KK
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
v Julia Polastri
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
v Julia Polastri
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm giving out here Karolina Kowalkiewicz Kavage plus 350.”
Line since pick
CLV −10%
◆ entry$4.75
→
close$5.30
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MU
Mohammed Usman
v Valter Walker
MONEYLINE
—
Mohammed Usman
v Valter Walker
MONEYLINE
—
“He gets Mohammed Usman a guy who's kind of had questionable submission defense.”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$3.70
→
now$3.65
entry: ESPN BET · best in any region at publish
VW
Valter Walker
v Mohammed Usman
PROP · SUBMISSION
VALUE
—
Valter Walker
v Mohammed Usman
PROP · SUBMISSION
VALUE
—
“The big one for me, Valter Walker... his submission line is almost two to one.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.36
→
now$1.33
Walker’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.00
MJ
Montel Jackson
v Deiveson Figueiredo
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Montel Jackson
v Deiveson Figueiredo
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“The model goes to Montel Jackson.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.39
→
close$1.39
entry: 1xBet · best in any region at publish
DF
Deiveson Figueiredo
v Montel Jackson
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Deiveson Figueiredo
v Montel Jackson
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I cannot back Montel Jackson at almost three bucks knowing who's the toughest guy he's faced... getting Deiveson Figueiredo out of there is no easy task.”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$3.60
→
close$3.75
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
LA
Lucas Almeida
v Michael Aswell
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Lucas Almeida
v Michael Aswell
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I think he's going to eat a lot of punches and I think he's going to rack up a big significant strike number.”
Line since pick
CLV −21%
◆ entry$2.25
→
close$2.85
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
CO
Charles Oliveira
v Mateusz Gamrot
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Charles Oliveira
v Mateusz Gamrot
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'm all over Charles Oliveira in this fight and I've been a big Mateusz Gamrot fan, but I think Charles Oliveira will dominate.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.97
→
close$2.00
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish