MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
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CO MG Oliveira vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight DF MJ Figueiredo vs JacksonMain Card · Bantamweight VL JÁ Luque vs ÁlvarezMain Card · Welterweight JD MP Diniz vs PintoMain Card · Heavyweight RR KO Ramos vs OfliMain Card · Featherweight LA MA Almeida vs AswellPreliminary Card · Featherweight JF CC Filho vs CarpenterPreliminary Card · Flyweight VP TP Petrino vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight BM IA Mesquita vs AlekseevaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight LR SN Rocha vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight JP KK Polastri vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight LL SO Lacerda vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Polastri over Kowalkiewicz · Women'S Strawweight Our fair value$1.17 1xBet pays above fair $1.23
Where to back Polastri best price · region · EV vs fair $1.17
US BetMGM $1.18 +1%
UK Betway $1.20 +2%
EU 1xBet $1.23 +5%
AU Neds $1.19 +1%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.18
Consensus69 picks · conf 75/99
Polastri 62
7 Kowalkiewicz
TTLTLD pick Polastri
How it endsmethod calls · Polastri · crowd line
KO/TKO 5 $12.91
Submission 3 $21.51
Decision 46 $1.40
None 1 $64.53
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Polastri 14-5 VS 16-10 Kowalkiewicz
5'2" height 5'3"
116 lb weight 116 lb
64" reach 64"
28 age 40
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 5.5
52% striking accuracy 43%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 5.5
48% striking defence 57%
2.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
51% takedown accuracy 22%
87% takedown defence 74%
1.8 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market85% vs 81%
Consensus62 of 69 analysts
Sharpest anglePolastri by Decision — 46 of 55 method calls
Recommendation Back Polastri @ $1.23 · fair $1.17 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Julia Polastri VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Julia Polastri “I'm gonna pick our Brazilian girl, Julia Polastri, by decision.”
MM Moneyball MMA picks Julia Polastri VALUE “I have Julia Polastri at -500.” $1.20
GI GipperPicks picks Julia Polastri “I do think she gets an easy win.” $1.22
FI Fight_Numerology picks Julia Polastri VALUE “Both numerology and technical edge goes to Julia Polastri.”
PV Predicciones UFC - VainillaUFC picks Julia Polastri “Julia Polastri ka qenë në ndeshje shumë të vështira dhe ne ia dolëm mbanë”
KU Kunath picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “Karolina is the ideal punt play. Julia Polastri might knock her out.”
KU Kunath picks Julia Polastri VALUE “Karolina is the ideal punt play. Julia Polastri might knock her out.”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Julia Polastri “the bookmaker's favorite, will be able to defeat former title contender Karolina Kowalkiewicz.”
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Julia Polastri “I'm going to have to say Julia Polastri.”
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “No direct quote, but context implies consideration against Julia Polastri.”
MU MustardKetchupMayo1000 picks Julia Polastri “Uh, Julia Polastri versus Karolina I'm thinking Julia Polastri. Uh I know Karolina Kowalkiewicz I think Julia Polastri Julia Polastri is that bad in my opinion... And I think Karolina Kowalkiewicz just losing to like”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Polastri14-5
L Alencar Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Kowalkiewicz KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Godinez Decision · R3 Mar '25
W McKenna Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Knutsson Decision · R3 Jun '24
Kowalkiewicz16-10
L Polastri KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Gomes Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Lucindo Decision · R3 May '24
W Belbiţă Decision · R3 Oct '23
W Demopoulos Decision · R3 May '23