MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
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CO MG Oliveira vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight DF MJ Figueiredo vs JacksonMain Card · Bantamweight VL JÁ Luque vs ÁlvarezMain Card · Welterweight JD MP Diniz vs PintoMain Card · Heavyweight RR KO Ramos vs OfliMain Card · Featherweight LA MA Almeida vs AswellPreliminary Card · Featherweight JF CC Filho vs CarpenterPreliminary Card · Flyweight VP TP Petrino vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight BM IA Mesquita vs AlekseevaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight LR SN Rocha vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight JP KK Polastri vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight LL SO Lacerda vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Alekseeva over Mesquita · Women'S Bantamweight Our fair value$5.91 Bet Right pays above fair $6.25
Where to back Alekseeva best price · region · EV vs fair $5.91
US BetOnline.ag $6.00 +2%
UK William Hill (UK) $5.50 -7%
EU LeoVegas (SE) $5.50 -7%
AU Bet Right $6.25 +6%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $5.93
Consensus54 picks · conf 71/99
Mesquita 44
10 Alekseeva
LTHITT pick Mesquita
How it endsmethod calls · Alekseeva · crowd line
Submission 3 $7.88
None 1 $23.64
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mesquita 6-0 VS 5-4 Alekseeva
5'4" height 5'8"
136 lb weight 135 lb
67" reach 67"
35 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 5.7
56% striking accuracy 47%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
55% striking defence 58%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
46% takedown accuracy 32%
80% takedown defence 53%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 0.8
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market17% vs 16%
Consensus10 of 54 analysts
Sharpest angleAlekseeva by Submission — 3 of 4 method calls
Recommendation Back Alekseeva @ $6.25 · fair $5.91 +6% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Beatriz Mesquita VALUE
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm going with the Brazilian who had quite a bit of experience in grappling before getting into MMA. I'm going with the fact that he's going to dominate and it will be a decision.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Beatriz Mesquita “My pick will be Beatriz Mesquita to take the win.”
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Irina Alekseeva “No direct pick quote.”
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Beatriz Mesquita “I got be a Beatriz Mesquita by by TKO round two.”
UM Us vs Them MMA picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm going to go with Beatriz Mesquita by submission.” $1.87
MP MMA Gems Podcast picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm liking Beatriz Mesquita here.”
IP Inside The Cage Podcast picks Beatriz Mesquita VALUE “But gonna go with Beatriz Mesquita here.”
TM Topside MMA picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm going to go with Beatriz Mesquita just because I think if she is able throughout any point of the 15 minutes...”
MM MMAnomaly picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm telling you now, Beia Beatriz Mesquita is it's a sweep on Beatriz Mesquita”
MM Mango MMA picks Beatriz Mesquita “Okay. Irina Alekseeva is five and three. That's probably how tall she is, too. ... with you? at least be a masqu like”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Irina Alekseeva VALUE “it's Alex Siver or nothing.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mesquita6-0
W Mullins Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Rendon Submission · R1 Mar '26
W Alekseeva Submission · R2 Oct '25
Alekseeva5-4
L Mesquita Submission · R2 Oct '25
L Syguła Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Mullins Decision · R3 Oct '23
W Egger Submission · R1 Apr '23