MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Choose a fight to analyse
CO MG Oliveira vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight DF MJ Figueiredo vs JacksonMain Card · Bantamweight VL JÁ Luque vs ÁlvarezMain Card · Welterweight JD MP Diniz vs PintoMain Card · Heavyweight RR KO Ramos vs OfliMain Card · Featherweight LA MA Almeida vs AswellPreliminary Card · Featherweight JF CC Filho vs CarpenterPreliminary Card · Flyweight VP TP Petrino vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight BM IA Mesquita vs AlekseevaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight LR SN Rocha vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight JP KK Polastri vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight LL SO Lacerda vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Almeida over Aswell · Featherweight Our fair value$2.68 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $3.50
Where to back Almeida best price · region · EV vs fair $2.68
US BetOnline.ag $3.50 +30%
UK Betway $3.10 +16%
EU Pinnacle $3.30 +23%
AU BoomBet $3.40 +27%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $3.23
Consensus84 picks · conf 80/99
Almeida 41
43 Aswell
TLLTHI pick Almeida
How it endsmethod calls · Almeida · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $13.86
Submission 1 $83.16
Decision 23 $3.62
None 1 $83.16
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Almeida 15-5 VS 11-5 Aswell
5'11" height 5'8"
145 lb weight 146 lb
71" reach 69"
35 age 25
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 4.8
62% striking accuracy 42%
3.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.3
50% striking defence 59%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
50% takedown accuracy 41%
72% takedown defence 57%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market37% vs 29%
Consensus41 of 84 analysts
Sharpest angleAlmeida by Decision — 23 of 31 method calls
Recommendation Back Almeida @ $3.50 · fair $2.68 +30% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Michael Aswell VALUE
ES etoft21 sports picks Lucas Almeida VALUE “I'm pretty high that uh your boy Joel Álvarez here gets the submission.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Michael Aswell “I think I'm just going to go with Michael Aswell.”
GI GipperPicks picks Michael Aswell VALUE “I'm wagering on... Michael Aswell significant strikes over 76 and a half.”
VI VinceMMA picks Michael Aswell VALUE “Thomas Petersen Michael Aswell by unanimous decision”
KU Kunath picks Lucas Almeida “I think if he throws this kind of volume at Lucas Almeida, he's going to knock him out.”
KU Kunath picks Michael Aswell VALUE “I think if he throws this kind of volume at Lucas Almeida, he's going to knock him out.”
TS Teddy Striker picks Michael Aswell “I think Michael Aswell is going to take this one... I think Mike as well is going to win himself a 29 28 decision victory.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Lucas Almeida “My pick is going to be Lucas Lucas Almeida to take the win.”
MP MMA Gems Podcast picks Michael Aswell “I'm going to side with Asell.”
OP Oddass Podcast picks Michael Aswell VALUE “We both got Michael Aswell.”
IP Inside The Cage Podcast picks Lucas Almeida VALUE “I'm going to go with Lucas Almeida here.” $2.35
Recent form last five, most recent first
Almeida15-5
L Aswell KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Silva Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Cuamba Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Fili KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
L Sabatini Submission · R2 Jun '23
Aswell11-5
W Almeida KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Oki Decision · R3 May '25