MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
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CO MG Oliveira vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight DF MJ Figueiredo vs JacksonMain Card · Bantamweight VL JÁ Luque vs ÁlvarezMain Card · Welterweight JD MP Diniz vs PintoMain Card · Heavyweight RR KO Ramos vs OfliMain Card · Featherweight LA MA Almeida vs AswellPreliminary Card · Featherweight JF CC Filho vs CarpenterPreliminary Card · Flyweight VP TP Petrino vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight BM IA Mesquita vs AlekseevaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight LR SN Rocha vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight JP KK Polastri vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight LL SO Lacerda vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Diniz v Pinto Heavyweight Our fair value $1.87 best price $1.88 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Diniz best price · region · EV vs fair $1.87
US FanDuel $1.83 -2%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $1.80 -4%
EU Coolbet $1.88 +0%
AU Bet Right $1.83 -2%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.84
Consensus77 picks · conf 78/99
Diniz 43
34 Pinto
SLHDYE pick Diniz
How it endsmethod calls · Diniz · crowd line
KO/TKO 19 $2.86
Decision 10 $5.42
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Diniz 9-2 VS 11-0 Pinto
6'4" height 6'5"
257 lb weight 255 lb
80" reach 79"
35 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 5.0
40% striking accuracy 41%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
58% striking defence 69%
2.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
44% takedown accuracy 47%
54% takedown defence 55%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 1.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market53% vs 53%
Consensus43 of 77 analysts
Sharpest angleDiniz by KO/TKO — 19 of 29 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BI Birddogmma picks Jhonata Diniz “Uh Jhonata Diniz. He's gets it.”
GM GLO MMA picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Mário Pinto “I'm gonna go ahead and pick Mário Pinto, too”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Jhonata Diniz “I'm picking Jhonata Diniz on this one.”
FI Fight_Numerology picks Mário Pinto “Mário Pinto record 10 to zero.”
PV Predicciones UFC - VainillaUFC picks Jhonata Diniz “duhet të shohë përfundimin. Charles Oliveira Karolina Kowalkiewicz. Ka një fund me Jhonata Diniz kundër Mário Pinto”
VI VinceMMA picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “I'm going to go Mário Pinto believer in Jhonata Diniz”
VI VinceMMA picks Mário Pinto VALUE “Mário Pinto here by round three TKO”
KU Kunath picks Mário Pinto “I know that Mário Pinto is the bee's knees... But I think Janata Janice is just a little bit too seasoned.”
KU Kunath picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “I can see him outpointing Mário Pinto to a decision win.”
MM MMAPredictionExperts picks Mário Pinto “I'm going with Mário Pinto.” $2.20
BG Bettor in Green picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “I'm doing Jhonata Diniz money line.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Diniz9-2
L Pinto KO/TKO · R2 Oct '25
W Hines Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Tybura KO/TKO · R2 Nov '24
W Williams Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Lane KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
Pinto11-0
W Franco Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Diniz KO/TKO · R2 Oct '25
W Lane KO/TKO · R2 Mar '25