UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
LE
Leon Edwards
v Belal Muhammad
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Leon Edwards
v Belal Muhammad
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“the way I'd prefer to bet this fight is Leon on the Finish only money line at minus 265”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.44
→
close$1.42
Edwards’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.38
TA
Tom Aspinall
v Curtis Blaydes
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Tom Aspinall
v Curtis Blaydes
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I think he's likely or the likeliest outcome here is asol to win in round one”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.26
→
close$1.28
Aspinall’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CB
Curtis Blaydes
v Tom Aspinall
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Curtis Blaydes
v Tom Aspinall
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“blades in the decision only Market at minus 140”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.50
→
close$4.50
Blaydes’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AA
Arnold Allen
v Giga Chikadze
MONEYLINE
WON
Arnold Allen
v Giga Chikadze
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think the stylistic the spot all of it favors Allan I just don't love him having to cover a minus 220 minus 250 price tag by grappling”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.47
→
close$1.47
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
GC
Giga Chikadze
v Arnold Allen
MONEYLINE
LOST
Giga Chikadze
v Arnold Allen
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm tempted to pull the trigger on Giga here but there's a couple things holding me back”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$3.10
→
close$3.05
entry: Virgin Bet · best in any region at publish
CD
Christian Leroy Duncan
v Gregory Rodrigues
MONEYLINE
LOST
Christian Leroy Duncan
v Gregory Rodrigues
MONEYLINE
LOST
“if they strike it out I don't think the price is that wrong I'd maybe make Duncan 60% minus 150 in a pure striking fight”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.80
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
DP
Daniel Pineda
v Nathaniel Wood
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Daniel Pineda
v Nathaniel Wood
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“pan round one is how I'd bet him 10 to one I think that would be the only way he wins consistently”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.75
→
close$4.75
Pineda’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NW
Nathaniel Wood
v Daniel Pineda
PROP · DECISION
WON
Nathaniel Wood
v Daniel Pineda
PROP · DECISION
WON
“wood round three is actually the likeliest outcome maybe even a wood round three or B decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
Wood’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MM
Muhammad Mokaev
v Manel Kape
MONEYLINE
WON
Muhammad Mokaev
v Manel Kape
MONEYLINE
WON
“I like Belal Muhammad Mokaev at minus 155 against Manel Kape”
Line since pick
CLV +9%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.63
entry: Virgin Bet · best in any region at publish
MK
Manel Kape
v Muhammad Mokaev
MONEYLINE
LOST
Manel Kape
v Muhammad Mokaev
MONEYLINE
LOST
“this fight was moved from the EVENT_DETAILS to the featured prelim to the early prelim and a bunch of money came in mokv”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.53
→
close$2.53
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
BM
Belal Muhammad
v Leon Edwards
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Belal Muhammad
v Leon Edwards
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I think the only way I see him winning is potentially stealing the fight late either with a late finish or just getting the final three rounds with wrestling”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$3.11
→
close$3.20
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
GR
Gregory Rodrigues
v Christian Leroy Duncan
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Gregory Rodrigues
v Christian Leroy Duncan
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I like Rodriguez I just think he has more ways to win”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.21
→
close$2.23
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish