UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · breakdown
Monday Movement: UFC 313 - Get the Best Bets Early!
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring52% hit
16 months ago
4W–1L · +3.6u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
KG
King Green
v Maurício Ruffy
MONEYLINE
LOST
King Green
v Maurício Ruffy
MONEYLINE
LOST
“two units on King Green Plus 387 combined that is providing us 33.9% differential between projected probability and implied probability on the line with an expected Roi of 161% on your investment”
Line since pick
CLV +7%
◆ entry$5.10
→
close$4.75
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
JG
Justin Gaethje
v Rafael Fiziev
MONEYLINE
WON
Justin Gaethje
v Rafael Fiziev
MONEYLINE
WON
“Justin Gaethje we got him at a plus 110 two units win 2.2 we give him a 60% chance of winning which is 14.5 percentage points different than the implied probability with an expected Roi 32%”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.36
→
close$2.40
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
BF
Brunno Ferreira
v Armen Petrosyan
MONEYLINE
WON
Brunno Ferreira
v Armen Petrosyan
MONEYLINE
WON
“Brunno Ferreira we got him at a plus 125 combined give him a 55% chance of winning 12.4 percentage points of value 29% expected Roi”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.32
→
close$2.27
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
OD
Ozzy Diaz
v Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos
MONEYLINE
WON
Ozzy Diaz
v Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos
MONEYLINE
WON
“Ozzy Ozzy Diaz out of plus 168 we have even more we got him at a plus 1572 a differential of 12.7% and an expected Roi of 34%”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.57
→
close$2.57
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
MS
Mairon Santos
v Francis Marshall
MONEYLINE
WON
Mairon Santos
v Francis Marshall
MONEYLINE
WON
“parlay with Curtis blades and Mairon Mairon Santos who are showing slight value as favorites”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.32
→
close$1.36
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish