UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MM
Melissa Mullins
v Nora Cornolle
MONEYLINE
LOST
Melissa Mullins
v Nora Cornolle
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going to go ahead and give her a 61% probability of Victory and I don't think she'll be able to finish corol here so this one will go to the judges”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.30
→
close$1.31
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
VH
Victor Hugo
v Pedro Falcão
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Victor Hugo
v Pedro Falcão
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I honestly see him submitting aliang in this fight”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.76
Hugo’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AM
Alex Morono
v Court McGee
MONEYLINE
WON
Alex Morono
v Court McGee
MONEYLINE
WON
“for my final prediction I'm going to bump that number up to a 63% probability that Alex Morono gets the job done and I think it will go the distance”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.34
→
close$1.37
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
VW
Valter Walker
v Łukasz Brzeski
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Valter Walker
v Łukasz Brzeski
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“bottom line Walker gets it done and KN Brey out cold”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.39
→
close$1.44
Walker’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
GR
Germaine de Randamie
v Norma Dumont
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Germaine de Randamie
v Norma Dumont
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“my final prediction is that Norman Dumont has a 64% probability of defeating Germaine deand ... the most likely method of Victory will be by unanimous decision”
Line since pick
CLV +11%
◆ entry$2.63
→
close$2.38
entry: Unibet (EU) · best in any region at publish
CC
Charlie Campbell
v Trevor Peek
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Charlie Campbell
v Trevor Peek
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“my final prediction is similar but slightly more conservative giving Campbell a 63% probability of Victory ... this could be a knockout from either fighter I'm just leaning more towards cell”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.62
Campbell’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BA
Brendan Allen
v Chris Curtis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Brendan Allen
v Chris Curtis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“my final prediction is that Brendan Brendan Allen has a 60% probability of defeating Chris Chris Curtis the deciding factor is without a doubt Brendan Allen's grappling and submission skills I think he gets another submission victory in this fight”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.52
Allen’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JM
Jean Matsumoto
v Dan Argueta
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Jean Matsumoto
v Dan Argueta
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I agree with that prediction ... Matsumoto seems well positioned for a potential Victory ... most likely method of Victory would be a decision win”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.64
→
close$1.63
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
DJ
Damon Jackson
v Alexander Hernandez
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Damon Jackson
v Alexander Hernandez
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“my final prediction is slightly higher than the weighted predictions putting Rodriguez with a 60% chance of Victory ... I see this going to the judges and Rodriguez getting the decision”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.75
→
close$2.75
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
CA
César Almeida
v Dylan Budka
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
César Almeida
v Dylan Budka
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
“I'm picking the underdog Caesar almea win with a 53% probability of Victory ... he's going to finish Dylan buka in this fight”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.40
→
close$2.35
Almeida’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted