UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JM
Jake Matthews
v Francisco Prado
PROP · DECISION
WON
Jake Matthews
v Francisco Prado
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I think that Jake Matthews is going to win by unanimous decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.46
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Matthews’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RB
Rodolfo Bellato
v Jimmy Crute
PROP · KO/TKO
Rodolfo Bellato
v Jimmy Crute
PROP · KO/TKO
“I'm going to go Rodolfo Bellato I feel like Jimmy Crute I think his last win was like in 2020 he just hasn't been doing good at all recently and belat is good like in his last way he looked pretty poor defensively like he was just walking forward like a Terminator thinking he's got like a raw tank chin and just absorbing a bunch of shots but he got dropped and he was able to just absorbed a bunch of shots until his opponent got tired and he was putting a good pressure but he wasn't really entering the pocket effectively and he was getting punished for that and we didn't get knocked down the pth by VOR Petrino in the contender series but he looked better in that fight his defense actually look good even his offense and um I feel like he's got dangerous grappling too like he can subit you off his back and um yeah I feel like Jimmy Crute he's going to struggle in this one I don't think he's going to do well I think he's going to lose again by stoppage in the second round via strikes”
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CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.65
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Bellato’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
TT
Tallison Teixeira
v Justin Tafa
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Tallison Teixeira
v Justin Tafa
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I'm going to go with Tallison Teixeira I feel like Justin TAA like he's kind of a can crusher to be honest I feel like he's putting away you know just these slow out of shape unathletic heavyweights I really should not be in the UFC but yeah and um talson tier he's really good he's 6' seven and he's got a Long Reach and I think ta is like 6' tall but um uh tyus Tallison Teixeira right he's one of those guys that really knows how to use his reach he makes use of that very well like he's able to keep his opponents on the outside of that and avoid their shots and keep them there and you know work his way to your finish he's very patient he doesn't rush things and when you fight just in t of when you try to get in quick or you kind of overreach that's when you're going to be in trouble but this guy doesn't do that he tast technical he keeps using that Long Reach very well and um I think he could even get a finish over Justin TAA I feel like TAA isn't really that good yes he is powerful but he's not like the best in the world and I think that um talson tar is going to show that there's levels and he's I feel like he he could honestly be a top 10 heavyweight with the current state of the heavyweights I think he's got a really good shot and with that reach and that height he's not a stepan out there who doesn't know how to use his reach he's really good and I think he's going to put tough away I could see maybe an early second round finish or late first round finish from by uh strikes”
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CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.74
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Teixeira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
ZW
Zhang Weili
v Tatiana Suarez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Zhang Weili
v Tatiana Suarez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I think je wiy is going to remain the strawweight champion I think she's just too good like rewatching her fights like Zhang Weili is just too good and Tatiana Tatiana Suarez Tatiana Suarez is as well rewatching her fights yes she's good but the problem with her is that she cannot just stay active she's always like out for two years then she comes back has one good year and then she's out again like there's no real momentum buildup and now like her last F was in 2023 against Jessica andr and she's coming back against J way Le like I feel like that's just going to be bad for her and um I think Zhang Weili's grappling has been improving yes she's been grappling a lot offensively but that also enhances your defense because you got to find ways to get around your opponent's defense so you're going to know about that side of wrestling too and undefeated it's just a night and day difference is just so much better much more powerful than Tatiana Tatiana Suarez Tatiana Suarez like Tatiana Tatiana Suarez Tatiana Suarez is isn't like bad she just is like very very basic she doesn't do anything great she doesn't have any crazy attributes like speed power or explosiveness or even like IQ when it comes to striking but um yeah I think way is going to be able to you know handle her grapping really well I mean we saw what wayy did with Carlos bars and I know caros bar isn't really the best and she also got destroyed by Tatiana Tatiana Suarez Tatiana Suarez but the way way Le was able to out grapple her overpower her and even get her submission over her is insane and um wayy she she did look a bit questionable in her last two fights because it did seem like she was slowing down but I feel like um in those fights she was using a lot of grappling and the Striking was difficult too because especially for Zhang Weili now she's super well-rounded but she is a really good striker and she was managing her distance well and she was able to get back up to the feet and then you know do her thing too and wayy they used a lot of energy in the first round to try to get that finish so she had to recover but she was still able to complete those full five rounds we haven't seen Tatiana Tatiana Suarez Tatiana Suarez do those four five rounds yet and against uh I think her name was Nina Nina Ana sov or Nina Nunes she was like doing good in the first two rounds but in the third she couldn't get her takedowns and she didn't really look too good on the feet she didn't look like a fish out of water but she did she just didn't look good and like she was missing quite a bit of strikes and I feel like wayy is going to stay sharp she's got great mu thae she's got great power you know she was able to drop Amanda lamos for single punch and I think she's going to be able to drop Tatiana Tatiana Suarez Tatiana Suarez and actually finish her I think she's going to get a finish in the third round in this one by strikes”
Analyst’s stated line
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