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Matthews vs PradoMain Card · Welterweight
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TS
Weili vs SuarezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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JT
Teixeira vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight
JC
RB
Crute vs BellatoMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Matthews vs PradoMain Card · Welterweight
GS
JJ
Santos vs JenkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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VB
Nolan vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
WC
BB
Cong vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
AT
CT
Topuria vs ThicknessePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
RZ
KS
Zhu vs SteeleEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
JM
KJ
Micallef vs JoussetEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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AJ
Salkilld vs JubliEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Prado
over Matthews · Welterweight
Our fair value$3.17
pays above fair
$3.30
Best prices · Prado
BetAnything · US
$3.30
Coolbet · EU
$3.02
Ladbrokes AU · AU
$3.10
Where to back Prado
best price · region · EV vs fair $3.17
US
BetAnything
$3.30
+4%
BetAnything
$3.30
+4%
UK
Grosvenor
$2.95
-7%
EU
Coolbet
$3.02
-5%
Coolbet
$3.02
-5%
AU
Ladbrokes AU
$3.10
-2%
Ladbrokes AU
$3.10
-2%
How it endsmethod calls · Prado · crowd line
KO/TKO
8
$5.55
Decision
4
$11.11
None
2
$22.22
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Matthews 22-8
VS
12-4 Prado
5'11"
height
5'10"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
73"
reach
69"
31
age
24
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.9
strikes landed / min
4.6
41%
striking accuracy
41%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
5.7
47%
striking defence
52%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
40%
takedown accuracy
0%
50%
takedown defence
25%
1.8
submissions / 15 min
0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market32% vs 30%
Consensus32 of 94 analysts
Sharpest anglePrado by KO/TKO — 8 of 14 method calls
Recommendation
Back Prado @ $3.30 · fair $3.17
+4% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ML
MMA Lewis picks Jake Matthews
“so I'm going have to go with Jake Matthewss”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jake Matthews
KM
Knuckles MMA picks Jake Matthews
“I have Jake Matthews winning this fight by either um a late round TKO a late third round TKO to be specific or um maybe a split decision”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Jake Matthews VALUE
“I'm going with Jake Matthews, probably by TKO”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“I'm taking Francisco Prado”
FM
FATALITY MMA picks Jake Matthews
“I'll take Jake Matthews he's more technical Francisco pra doesn't have finishing ability should stay standing Jake Matthews in his home spot”
DM
DR. MMA picks Jake Matthews
“I'm going have to go with Jake Matthews once again”
MW
Muay Thai Wolverine picks Jake Matthews
“I'm going with with you uh Jake Matthews for this”
TL
The Millennial Londoner picks Francisco Prado
“I'm going to go Francisco Prado”
CM
Coty MMA picks Jake Matthews
“I do think Jake Matthews gets it done”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Matthews22-8
W
Harris
May '26
L
Magny
Sep '25
W
Njokuani
Jul '25
W
Prado
Feb '25
W
Rowe
Jun '24
Prado12-4
L
Radtke
Apr '26
L
Veretennikov
Jul '25
L
Matthews
Feb '25
L
Zellhuber
Feb '24
W
Azaitar
Jul '23