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UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
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DP SS Plessis vs StricklandMain Card · Middleweight ZW TS Weili vs SuarezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight TT JT Teixeira vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight JC RB Crute vs BellatoMain Card · Light Heavyweight JM FP Matthews vs PradoMain Card · Welterweight GS JJ Santos vs JenkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight TN VB Nolan vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight WC BB Cong vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight AT CT Topuria vs ThicknessePreliminary Card · Bantamweight RZ KS Zhu vs SteeleEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight JM KJ Micallef vs JoussetEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight QS AJ Salkilld vs JubliEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Brasil over Cong · Women'S Flyweight Our fair value$3.76 Fliff pays above fair $3.90
Where to back Brasil best price · region · EV vs fair $3.76
US Fliff $3.90 +4%
UK Virgin Bet $3.50 -7%
EU NordicBet $3.85 +2%
AU SportsBet $3.78 +1%
Consensus68 picks · conf 75/99
Cong 48
20 Brasil
OLCEJM pick Cong
How it endsmethod calls · Brasil · crowd line
Submission 5 $10.51
Decision 8 $6.57
None 1 $52.57
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Cong 8-1 VS 11-6-1 Brasil
5'6" height 5'6"
125 lb weight 116 lb
67" reach 65"
34 age 32
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 2.9
46% striking accuracy 61%
1.6 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
70% striking defence 50%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
50% takedown accuracy 72%
100% takedown defence 59%
2.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market27% vs 26%
Consensus20 of 68 analysts
Sharpest angleBrasil by Decision — 8 of 14 method calls
Recommendation Back Brasil @ $3.90 · fair $3.76 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Wang Cong “my subscribers went with Bruna Brasil I went with Wang Cong” $1.23
ML MMA Lewis picks Wang Cong “I'll go with Wang Cong”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Wang Cong VALUE $1.28
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Bruna Brasil
12 12Coffees picks Wang Cong “I think Wang Cong is going to win”
ES etoft21 sports picks Wang Cong VALUE “I think Wang Cong gets it done”
ES etoft21 sports picks Bruna Brasil VALUE “I'm taking Bruna Brasil”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Wang Cong “I am going to take Wang Cong this is kind of a weird fight again women's divisions are always a little bit harder for me I'll take Wang Kong uh five out of 10”
CM Coty MMA picks Wang Cong “I do think Wang wins the fight”
KU Kunath picks Wang Cong “if you want to play Wang Cong Wang be my guest I worry a little bit that she might win this fight real early”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Bruna Brasil VALUE “here's my second play official play of the night I have Bruna Brasil plus 325” $4.25
MB MMA BG picks Wang Cong “my official prediction Wang Cong decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Cong8-1
W Moura Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Silva Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Brasil Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Fernandes Submission · R2 Nov '24
W Leonardo KO/TKO · R1 Aug '24
Brasil11-6-1
L Thainara Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Souza Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Cong Decision · R3 Feb '25
W McCann Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Lookboonmee Decision · R3 Feb '24